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Week 17, 2026
Resolution In ProgressClosed May 2, 2026
317 predictions — 172 resolved YES, 112 resolved NO, 33 pending
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a Haiti briefing during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026 without requesting a procedural postponement, per UN press.un.org coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a Yemen briefing during the first two weeks of May 2026, with Hans Grundberg explicitly calling for renewed political talks between Yemeni parties, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's Syria briefing scheduled for early May 2026 include a specific reference to chemical weapons destruction progress by the UN's Syria envoy or designated deputy, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/8/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a Syria monthly briefing during the week of April 28 – May 2, 2026 that includes a public statement by a civil society representative, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/2/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues (25th session, closing May 1, 2026) feature a statement specifically addressing the rights of indigenous peoples in active conflict zones including Ukraine or Sudan, per official UN coverage by May 1, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues (25th session, running through May 1, 2026) issue at least one formal press release or media note from UN DESA by May 1, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia's UN Ambassador make statements at the UN Security Council during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026 that explicitly accuse the United States of destabilizing actions or provocations, per official UN press coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General António Guterres issue a formal statement specifically addressing the Strait of Hormuz situation during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a scheduled briefing on South Sudan (UNMISS) during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026 without cancellation, per UN press coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will China or Russia abstain (rather than vote in favor) on the Libya petroleum-measures renewal resolution adopted by the UN Security Council by May 1, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council renew the Libya petroleum-related measures resolution before the May 1, 2026 expiry deadline?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold at least one unscheduled emergency meeting on the Iran-Israel-US conflict during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia and China table a joint alternative draft resolution on Middle East maritime security at the UN Security Council during the week of April 27 – May 4, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/4/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 27, 2026 maritime security high-level debate feature a ministerial-level representative from at least 5 non-Council member states, per official UN meetings coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/29/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Iran's UN Ambassador make a public statement at the April 27, 2026 UN Security Council maritime security open debate, per official UN meetings coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/29/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council adopt a presidential statement on maritime security during or immediately following its April 27, 2026 high-level open debate?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/29/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 27, 2026 maritime security high-level open debate feature statements from more than 20 UN member states, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/29/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one G7 foreign minister issue a formal statement referencing Bulgaria's new government and its implications for European security by May 10, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Progressive Bulgaria form and have a new Council of Ministers sworn in by May 20, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/20/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal vote on any Iran-related resolution during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
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