Will the U.S. PCE price index for March 2026 show a month-over-month increase of 0.2% or less when released on 2026-05-01?

Resolves YES if the BEA's March 2026 core PCE price index shows a month-over-month change of 0.2% or less. Resolves NO if the month-over-month change exceeds 0.2%. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Personal Income and Outlays report for March 2026 published at bea.gov on 2026-05-01