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Week 38, 2026

Open

Betting open until Sat Sep 26, 17:00 UTC

279 predictions — 237 open, 42 resolved

entertainmentAI generated

Will Still Flipping Out (Bravo, premiering September 28) appear in Nielsen's top 25 most-watched cable programs for the week of September 28-October 4?

YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 83.1K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will more than 100 Heads of State or Government deliver statements during the UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate (September 22–28, 2026) according to the official speaker list on gadebate.un.org?

YES 49%NO 51%
74 bets · 83.0K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Animal Control Season 5 premiere on September 27 draw more than 2.5 million viewers per Nielsen same-day ratings?

YES 51%NO 49%
75 bets · 82.6K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 28 00:30 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Heart of the Beast open above $15 million domestically during its opening weekend of September 25-27?

YES 55%NO 45%
75 bets · 82.6K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 25 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will OpenAI announce a new product or major model update between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?

YES 44%NO 56%
73 bets · 82.6K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Avengers: Endgame's Encore Re-Release gross more than $8 million domestically in its opening weekend of September 25-27?

YES 51%NO 49%
75 bets · 82.3K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the High-Level Meeting on Threats Posed by Sea-Level Rise on September 24, 2026 be explicitly referenced in at least 3 national statements during the UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate (Days 3–7, September 24–28, 2026) per press.un.org summaries?

YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 82.2K tokens9/30/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 24 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will Cisco announce a new AI-driven networking or security feature between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?

YES 47%NO 53%
75 bets · 82.2K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any G7 country's foreign ministry publish a formal press statement explicitly calling for Russia's withdrawal from Crimea in connection with the Sixth Crimea Platform Summit between September 21 and September 24, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
75 bets · 81.6K tokens9/25/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA Climate Prediction Center issue an El Niño Advisory in its ENSO outlook published during the week of 2026-09-21 through 2026-09-27?

YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 81.5K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will the Avengers: Endgame Encore Re-Release finish in the top 5 at the domestic box office for the weekend of September 25-27?

YES 46%NO 54%
76 bets · 81.2K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 25 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will any major cloud provider (AWS, Azure, or GCP) suffer a significant outage lasting more than 2 hours between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?

YES 46%NO 54%
73 bets · 81.0K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will the number of publicly disclosed AI safety incidents tracked by the AI Incident Database exceed 100 new entries between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-22?

YES 56%NO 44%
75 bets · 81.0K tokens10/22/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will South Korea's President deliver South Korea's national statement at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) in person per the official gadebate.un.org speaker list, rather than sending a foreign minister?

YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 81.0K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will a major social media platform announce new AI content moderation policies between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-22?

YES 45%NO 55%
75 bets · 80.8K tokens10/22/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Primetime (A24, September 25) open above $10 million domestically during its opening weekend of September 25-27?

YES 55%NO 45%
76 bets · 80.3K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 25 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will Google announce a new Gemini model version between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?

YES 54%NO 46%
76 bets · 79.7K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) announce expanded US fab capacity or a new US investment between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-22?

YES 55%NO 45%
75 bets · 79.4K tokens10/22/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the European Union announce new restrictive measures (sanctions) against Russia or Belarus between September 21 and September 27, 2026 as published in the Official Journal of the EU (eur-lex.europa.eu)?

YES 49%NO 51%
75 bets · 79.0K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will HubSpot announce a new AI-powered CRM feature between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?

YES 47%NO 53%
74 bets · 79.0K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC

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