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Week 30, 2026
OpenBetting open until Sat Aug 1, 17:00 UTC
279 predictions — 241 open, 38 resolved, 2 invalidated
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US State Department publish an official spokesperson statement on the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference within 24 hours of the event on July 27, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
81 bets · 111.6K tokens7/28/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US State Department issue a formal statement welcoming the Venezuela government-opposition talks launched on July 28, 2026, by July 31, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
82 bets · 108.7K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNODC World Day Against Trafficking in Persons event on July 30, 2026 generate statements from at least 3 UN member state governments published on the UNODC website by August 2, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
83 bets · 108.0K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 30 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Venezuelan opposition delegation demand the release of at least 10 named political prisoners as a stated precondition within 3 days of the July 28, 2026 talks' launch, as publicly reported by major media or official opposition statements?
YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 105.2K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Palestinian Authority issue a formal written response to the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference by July 31, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 103.1K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the 1951 Refugee Convention 75th anniversary event on July 28, 2026 result in a formal UNHCR declaration being adopted and published on UNHCR's official website by August 4, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
80 bets · 102.4K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a formal press statement referencing the July 27, 2026 two-state solution conference by July 29, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
81 bets · 101.3K tokens7/29/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Turkey's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement about the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference between July 27 and August 1, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 101.0K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the African Union Commission issue a formal statement on the Israeli-Palestinian two-state solution in connection with the July 27, 2026 Italy–Saudi Arabia conference, by August 3, 2026?
YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 100.6K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US Treasury Secretary issue a formal statement on G20 preparatory finance deputies meetings during the week of July 27, 2026, by August 2, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
80 bets · 99.5K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNODC World Day Against Trafficking in Persons on July 30, 2026 include the announcement of at least one new inter-governmental cooperation agreement against trafficking, as published on the UNODC official website by August 2, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 99.0K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 30 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the G20 Finance Deputies meeting during the week of July 27, 2026 result in the release of a public chair's summary or communiqué by August 1, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
78 bets · 98.2K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNHCR High Commissioner deliver a keynote address at the July 28, 2026 Refugee Convention anniversary event, as confirmed by an official UNHCR press release by July 29, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 97.5K tokens7/29/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Brazil hold at least 5 formally registered party conventions across different political parties between July 27 and July 31, 2026, as recorded by the TSE?
YES 53%NO 47%
79 bets · 97.4K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US impose new sanctions on any Hamas-linked entity between July 27 and August 10, 2026, as listed by US OFAC?
YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 96.6K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Egypt's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a statement on the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference between July 27 and July 31, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 96.3K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any G7 country announce new individual sanctions targeting Venezuelan officials between July 28 and August 3, 2026?
YES 54%NO 46%
78 bets · 95.3K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNHCR publish a new pledging framework or formal commitment document at the July 28, 2026 Refugee Convention anniversary event by August 1, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 95.1K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one major Brazilian political party formally announce a presidential candidate at its party convention between July 27 and July 31, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
77 bets · 94.3K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the G20 Finance Deputies meeting in the week of July 27, 2026 explicitly address new trade tariff frameworks in any official readout published by August 2, 2026?
YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 94.0K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
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