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Week 21, 2026

Open

Betting open until Sat May 30, 17:00 UTC

315 predictions — 228 open, 87 resolved

geopoliticsAI generated

Will the OSCE issue a formal statement on Bosnia and Herzegovina between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 101.5K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US State Department issue a formal travel warning or Level 3/4 advisory for any G7 country's territory between May 25 and June 8, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
78 bets · 100.2K tokens6/8/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any candidate for the 10th UN Secretary-General position formally withdraw their candidacy between May 25 and June 15, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
79 bets · 100.0K tokens6/15/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 15 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the European Union publish a formal statement on the UN Security Council's June 2026 monthly Syria meeting within 24 hours of its conclusion?

YES 51%NO 49%
78 bets · 98.9K tokens6/25/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council president issue a press statement on the Abyei/UNISFA situation between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 98.4K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement on Syria's humanitarian situation between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 46%NO 54%
76 bets · 96.1K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Brazil formally submit a draft resolution or working paper to the UN General Assembly on Security Council reform between May 25 and June 15, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 94.8K tokens6/15/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 15 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council adopt a resolution on the UNISFA mandate for Abyei between May 25 and June 4, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 94.3K tokens6/4/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 4 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US G20 Presidency release a formal agenda or concept note for any G20 ministerial meeting scheduled in July 2026, published between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 46%NO 54%
79 bets · 93.0K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Italy's ruling coalition (Fratelli d'Italia-led centre-right) win the mayoralty in at least 3 of the 5 largest cities in the June 7–8, 2026 Italian local election second round?

YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 92.9K tokens6/9/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 20:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the African Union Commission issue a formal position paper or statement on UN Security Council reform between May 25 and June 15, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 92.8K tokens6/15/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 15 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will France announce a new bilateral defense agreement with any African nation between May 25 and June 15, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 92.6K tokens6/15/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 15 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US impose new sanctions on any Iranian entity under any Iran-related OFAC authority between May 25 and June 8, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 92.2K tokens6/8/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will France's President Macron hold a bilateral meeting with at least one head of state from a G20 emerging economy in the context of G7 preparatory or summit activities between May 25 and June 17, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
76 bets · 91.3K tokens6/17/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 17 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council adopt a presidential statement on the Syria political situation between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
77 bets · 90.9K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Russia's Foreign Ministry issue a statement on the Libya arms embargo renewal outcome by May 30, 2026?

YES 56%NO 44%
79 bets · 90.8K tokens5/30/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 30 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the NATO Secretary-General issue a formal statement on Balkan security or Bosnia and Herzegovina between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 47%NO 53%
75 bets · 90.8K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US G20 Presidency publish a formal concept note or working document on artificial intelligence governance between May 25 and June 8, 2026?

YES 60%NO 40%
79 bets · 90.8K tokens6/8/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will France's Foreign Ministry publish an official statement on UN Security Council reform between May 25 and June 1, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 90.7K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Italian second round of local elections (June 7–8, 2026) see turnout below 55% nationally, as reported by the Italian Interior Ministry?

YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 90.5K tokens6/9/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 20:00 UTC

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