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Week 44, 2026
LockedBetting locked — predictions resolving
202 predictions — 0 open, 105 resolved, 31 invalidated
geopoliticsAI generated
Will a formal protest or demonstration of more than 500 participants occur outside COP31 venues in Antalya between 2026-11-09 and 2026-11-15?
YES 51%NO 49%
82 bets · 120.4K tokens11/16/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN World Data Forum 2026 in Riyadh issue a formal declaration or communiqué by its closing day (2026-11-12)?
YES 51%NO 49%
84 bets · 119.8K tokens11/13/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal open meeting specifically addressing the situation in Gaza between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-08?
YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 117.7K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any G7 member state formally announce new sanctions against any country between 2026-11-05 and 2026-11-09?
YES 48%NO 52%
84 bets · 117.2K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 5 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the new U.S. Congress composition (post-2026 midterms) result in Democrats controlling both chambers, per AP projections available by 2026-11-10?
YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 116.7K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 3 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the opening ceremony of COP31 in Antalya, Turkey on 2026-11-09 be attended by at least 100 national delegations?
YES 48%NO 52%
85 bets · 116.6K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 08:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Saudi Arabia's government issue an official press release via the Saudi Press Agency (SPA) related to the UN World Data Forum 2026 in Riyadh on 2026-11-09?
YES 52%NO 48%
84 bets · 116.1K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 08:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Republicans retain control of the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections per AP projections available by 2026-11-09?
YES 52%NO 48%
83 bets · 115.1K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 3 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General publish a formal press conference readout urging an immediate ceasefire in any active conflict zone between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-08?
YES 51%NO 49%
83 bets · 114.7K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal meeting specifically on Ukraine between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-08?
YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 114.3K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council convene an emergency session on any topic between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-08?
YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 114.1K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the European Union announce new sanctions against Iran between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-09?
YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 112.8K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the United States announce new sanctions targeting Russia between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-09?
YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 112.6K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement reacting to the 2026 U.S. midterm election results between 2026-11-04 and 2026-11-08?
YES 50%NO 50%
83 bets · 111.8K tokens11/9/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 4 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Chinese and U.S. officials hold any formal bilateral meeting between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-09?
YES 51%NO 49%
83 bets · 111.5K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will COP31 in Antalya open on schedule on 2026-11-09 with the UN Secretary-General delivering opening remarks?
YES 49%NO 51%
83 bets · 110.4K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 08:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Republicans win a net gain of at least 5 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections, based on AP results available by 2026-11-06?
YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 110.3K tokens11/6/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any officially recognized political party in a Commonwealth nation announce a policy shift related to republican status (removing the British monarch as head of state) in the 7 days following CHOGM 2026 closing (between 2026-11-05 and 2026-11-11)?
YES 53%NO 47%
81 bets · 108.6K tokens11/12/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 5 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the EU Council of Foreign Affairs meet in an extraordinary session between 2026-11-02 and 2026-11-09?
YES 49%NO 51%
84 bets · 108.5K tokens11/10/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the ITU Plenipotentiary Conference (PP-26) opening in Doha on 2026-11-09 see any formal nomination for the next ITU Secretary-General submitted within the first 3 days?
YES 50%NO 50%
85 bets · 107.6K tokens11/12/2026
Generated: Nov 1, 2026
Wagering closes: Nov 9 00:00 UTC
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