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Week 21, 2026
OpenBetting open until Sat May 30, 17:00 UTC
315 predictions — 228 open, 87 resolved
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia's Foreign Ministry issue a statement on the Libya arms embargo renewal outcome by May 30, 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%
79 bets · 90.8K tokens5/30/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 30 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US G20 Presidency publish a formal concept note or working document on artificial intelligence governance between May 25 and June 8, 2026?
YES 60%NO 40%
79 bets · 90.8K tokens6/8/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will France's Foreign Ministry publish an official statement on UN Security Council reform between May 25 and June 1, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 90.7K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any new ceasefire agreement between warring parties in Sudan be publicly announced between May 25 and June 15, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
80 bets · 89.8K tokens6/15/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 15 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Texas primary runoff election (May 27, 2026) report total election day turnout exceeding 500,000 ballots cast statewide?
YES 55%NO 45%
78 bets · 89.8K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 55/45
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Turkey's Foreign Ministry issue a formal statement on the Libya arms embargo renewal outcome between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
YES 57%NO 43%
74 bets · 89.0K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the G7 Foreign Ministers issue a joint statement specifically on North Korea's missile program between May 25 and June 17, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 89.0K tokens6/17/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 17 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Saudi Arabia's Foreign Ministry issue a formal statement on Syria's political situation during the week of May 25–31, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
78 bets · 88.3K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will India's External Affairs Ministry formally present India's position on Security Council reform at the UNGA Informal Plenary session scheduled for June 11–12, 2026?
YES 48%NO 52%
76 bets · 88.1K tokens6/12/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 11 10:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia or China veto the UN Security Council Libya arms embargo maritime inspection renewal resolution by May 30, 2026?
YES 55%NO 45%
76 bets · 87.7K tokens5/30/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 55/45
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any permanent member of the UN Security Council formally submit a counter-proposal or alternative text on the South Sudan sanctions renewal draft resolution before the May 31, 2026 expiry?
YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 87.5K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one G7 member country announce new sanctions targeting Russia between May 25 and June 8, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 87.1K tokens6/8/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 8 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's June 2026 monthly Syria meeting result in a formal joint press statement from at least three permanent members within 24 hours?
YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 86.9K tokens6/25/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US State Department issue a press statement reacting to the Libya arms embargo renewal outcome within 48 hours of the final UN Security Council vote on the mandate (expected by May 27, 2026)?
YES 49%NO 51%
75 bets · 85.9K tokens5/27/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 27 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will OCHA release a new Syria Humanitarian Update report between May 25 and June 1, 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%
77 bets · 85.9K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement on UN Security Council reform between May 25 and June 12, 2026, in conjunction with the UNGA Informal Plenary scheduled for June 11–12?
YES 54%NO 46%
74 bets · 85.7K tokens6/12/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 11 10:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Germany's Foreign Ministry issue a formal statement on UN Security Council reform negotiations between May 25 and June 12, 2026, in connection with the UNGA Informal Plenary?
YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 85.6K tokens6/12/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 12 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will China's Foreign Ministry issue a formal statement on UN Security Council reform between May 25 and June 12, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
75 bets · 83.0K tokens6/12/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 12 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any G20 ministerial meeting under the US Presidency produce a formal joint communiqué referencing 'debt sustainability' during the week of May 25–31, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
74 bets · 81.7K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Italian centre-left coalition (PD-led) advance to the June 7–8 second round in at least 4 of the 10 largest cities that held first-round local elections on May 24–25, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
74 bets · 81.7K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 24, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
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