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Week 16, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed Apr 25, 2026

336 predictions — 162 resolved YES, 169 resolved NO, 5 pending

scienceAI generated

Will the journal Science publish a research article on CRISPR gene editing in human cells between April 20–26, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ESCMID Global 2026 congress (April 20–24, Munich) release a consensus statement or clinical guideline document during the congress week?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Blue Origin's reflight of the previously flown New Glenn rocket successfully launch from Cape Canaveral NET April 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the journal Nature publish a research article specifically on large language model alignment or AI safety between April 20–26, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion published in May 2026 formally declare an El Niño Advisory?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/21/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ESCMID Global 2026 congress (April 20–24, Munich) issue a press release reporting a new antimicrobial resistance finding from a study with at least 1,000 patient samples by April 24, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Rocket Lab Electron rocket successfully launch JAXA's Innovative Satellite Technology Demonstration rideshare mission on April 22-23, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Ariane 64 rocket successfully launch from the Guiana Space Centre on April 29, 2026 and deploy its payload to orbit?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/30/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 (closing April 22) issue a press release highlighting an immunotherapy clinical trial result with at least 500 patients by April 22, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 (closing April 22) feature a press-released abstract reporting an overall survival benefit for a CAR-T cell therapy in a solid tumor indication?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 feature an official press release announcing a combination immunotherapy trial result with progression-free survival improvement of more than 4 months compared to monotherapy in any cancer type, announced by April 22, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will any paper at the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 (closing April 22) report a statistically significant overall survival improvement in a pancreatic cancer trial as highlighted in an official AACR press release?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC May 2026 ENSO Diagnostic Discussion report a probability of El Niño formation by summer 2026 above 65%?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/21/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 (closing April 22) feature a press-released abstract reporting a tumor response rate above 50% for a novel ADC (antibody-drug conjugate) in a breast cancer trial?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launch from Vandenberg scheduled NET April 20, 2026 successfully deploy all 25 Starlink V2 Mini Optimized satellites?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 booster successfully land on drone ship OCISLY during the Vandenberg Starlink launch NET April 20, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Rocket Lab Electron booster successfully perform a controlled ocean splashdown during the JAXA rideshare mission on April 22-23, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ULA Atlas V rocket successfully launch its payload on April 28, 2026 within 24 hours of its scheduled 08:51 UTC launch time?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/30/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Blue Origin successfully land the New Glenn booster on drone ship LPV-1 during the first New Glenn reflight attempt in late April or early May 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the CDC FluView report published during the week of April 20–26, 2026 show ILI (influenza-like illness) activity at 'Minimal' or 'Low' national baseline level?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50

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