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Week 15, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed Apr 18, 2026

302 predictions — 157 resolved YES, 145 resolved NO

scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launch from Vandenberg on April 18, 2026 successfully lift off within 24 hours of its scheduled launch time?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Web Conference 2026 (WWW, April 13–17) in Dubai announce a Best Paper Award winner whose primary focus is on misinformation detection or content moderation?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket complete its second test flight without a launch pad anomaly on April 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA April 17, 2026 ENSO update report a probability of El Niño formation by summer 2026 above 65%?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the journal Nature publish a research article specifically on large language model alignment or AI safety between April 13–19, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ACM CHI 2026 conference feature a Best Paper Award winner in the category of AI/machine learning applications in HCI by April 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launch from Vandenberg on April 15, 2026 successfully deploy all 25 Starlink V2 Mini Optimized satellites?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Blue Origin New Glenn booster successfully land on drone ship LPV-1 during the BlueBird 7 launch on April 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket successfully deploy at least one of its five CubeSat payloads during the April 17, 2026 test flight?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will NOAA's April 17, 2026 ENSO Diagnostic Discussion upgrade the current El Niño Watch to an El Niño Advisory?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 opening session on April 17, 2026 feature a publicly announced clinical trial result for a cancer immunotherapy with a sample size of at least 500 patients, as confirmed by an official AACR press release?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/18/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the AACR Annual Meeting 2026 (April 17–22) feature a press-released abstract reporting an overall survival benefit for a CAR-T cell therapy in a solid tumor indication?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the journal Science publish a research article on CRISPR gene editing in human cells between April 13–19, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ACM CHI 2026 conference (April 13–17) post more than 500 accepted papers in its official program on the ACM Digital Library by April 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink Group 10-24 launch on April 14, 2026 successfully deploy all 29 satellites to low Earth orbit?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 booster successfully land on drone ship JRTI during the Starlink Group 10-24 launch on April 14, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 booster successfully land on drone ship OCISLY during the Vandenberg Starlink launch on April 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launch the AST SpaceMobile BlueBird 7 satellite on April 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket successfully reach an altitude above 100 km (Kármán line) during its second test flight on April 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/18/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ESCMID Global 2026 congress (opening April 17) issue a press release on April 17 or 18 reporting a new antimicrobial resistance finding from a study with at least 1,000 patient samples?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/18/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50

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