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Week 36, 2026

Certified

Closed Sep 12, 2026

271 predictions — 103 resolved YES, 168 resolved NO, 4 invalidated

geopoliticsAI generated

Will the G20 Ministerial Meeting on Energy Abundance in Houston (September 14–16, 2026) produce a joint ministerial communiqué published on the official US G20 Presidency website by September 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 0.0K tokens9/17/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Invalidated · bets refundedNo payout
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any G20 energy minister from a major fossil-fuel-producing nation (Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Canada, or Australia) issue a press statement specifically opposing language endorsing fossil fuel phase-out at the Houston G20 Energy Ministerial (September 14–16, 2026), as published on their official government press release portal by September 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 0.0K tokens9/17/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Invalidated · bets refundedNo payout
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Swedish Green Party (Miljöpartiet) win at least 4% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, thereby clearing the parliamentary threshold, per Valmyndigheten preliminary results?

YES 50%NO 50%
76 bets · 0.0K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Invalidated · bets refundedNo payout
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the G20 Energy Ministers Meeting in Houston (September 14–16, 2026) result in a joint document that explicitly references 'energy transition' as reported in official US G20 Presidency press releases published by September 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 0.0K tokens9/17/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Invalidated · bets refundedNo payout

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