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Week 39, 2026
CertifiedClosed Oct 3, 2026
247 predictions — 110 resolved YES, 137 resolved NO, 50 invalidated
scienceAI generated
Will the arxiv.org new-submissions listing for q-bio.QM (Quantitative Methods in Biology) on 2026-09-29 contain at least 10 new submissions?
YES 55%NO 45%
76 bets · 91.2K tokens9/30/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 55/45
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the incumbent governor's party retain the São Paulo governorship in the first round of Brazil's October 4, 2026 election?
YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 91.1K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
technologyAI generated
Will DELL (Dell Technologies) shares close at or above $580 at the 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02?
YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 91.0K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
financeAI generated
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raise its official cash rate target to 4.60% as announced in its interest rate decision on 2026-09-29?
YES 54%NO 46%
78 bets · 91.0K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Brazil's Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) report any electoral system disruptions (cyberattack, technical failure, or voting machine malfunction affecting more than 1% of polling stations) on October 4, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
76 bets · 90.6K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will the October 16, 2026 episode of Dancing with the Stars Season 35 on ABC draw more than 5 million total viewers per Nielsen fast nationals?
YES 45%NO 55%
78 bets · 90.5K tokens10/17/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 45/55
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US Treasury Department (OFAC) announce new sanctions targeting Russia between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-11?
YES 44%NO 56%
78 bets · 90.1K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 44/56
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal meeting on the situation in Ukraine between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-04?
YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 90.0K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated
Will NOW (ServiceNow) shares close at or above $145 at the 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02?
YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 90.0K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will the SNL Season 52 second episode on October 3, 2026 feature a political cold open sketch, as confirmed by NBC's official SNL episode recap or a Variety/Deadline recap published by October 5, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 89.9K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
financeAI generated
Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) close above 51,500 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-09-29?
YES 53%NO 47%
81 bets · 89.9K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
entertainmentAI generated
Will a new major film or TV show announcement made at New York Comic Con 2026 (October 9-12, 2026) trend on Twitter/X in the US on October 10, 2026?
YES 45%NO 55%
76 bets · 89.9K tokens10/11/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 45/55
scienceAI generated
Will the arxiv.org new-submissions listing for quant-ph (Quantum Physics) on 2026-09-29 contain at least 55 new submissions?
YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 89.9K tokens9/30/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal vote on any resolution between 2026-09-28 and 2026-10-04?
YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 89.4K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated
Will HUBS (HubSpot) shares close at or above $225 at the 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02?
YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 89.4K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the G20 Trade Ministerial Meeting in Milwaukee (September 30 – October 1, 2026) produce a joint communiqué signed by all G20 trade ministers?
YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 88.7K tokens10/3/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated
Will Verity (starring Anne Hathaway and Dakota Johnson) receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 65% or higher based on reviews published by October 5, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 88.7K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated
Will ZS (Zscaler) shares close at or above $205 at the 4:00 PM ET Nasdaq close on any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02?
YES 44%NO 56%
80 bets · 88.7K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 44/56
technologyAI generated
Will MSFT (Microsoft) shares close at or above $530 at the 4:00 PM ET Nasdaq close on any trading day between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-02?
YES 56%NO 44%
77 bets · 88.6K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
entertainmentAI generated
Will Scrubs Season 2's premiere on ABC on September 30, 2026 score a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 70% or higher by October 7, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 88.5K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Sep 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
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