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Week 16, 2026
CertifiedClosed Apr 25, 2026
331 predictions — 162 resolved YES, 170 resolved NO, 5 invalidated
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Bulgarian Socialist Party – United Left coalition pass the 4% electoral threshold in Bulgaria's final CEC-certified results for the April 2026 election?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Progressive Bulgaria's final certified vote share in the April 2026 Bulgarian election exceed 40% according to the CEC official results?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any EU foreign affairs minister publicly issue a statement reacting to Bulgaria's April 2026 election results and mentioning concerns about Bulgaria's EU foreign policy orientation by April 24, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia's foreign ministry (MFA) issue a statement responding to or congratulating winners of the Bulgarian April 2026 parliamentary elections by April 24, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues (April 20–27 portion of its session) issue at least one formal press release or media note from UN DESA by April 25, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 22, 2026 Yemen briefing result in Hans Grundberg referencing the Strait of Hormuz conflict as an aggravating factor for Yemen's humanitarian situation, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the International Day of Multilateralism and Diplomacy for Peace on April 24, 2026 result in a joint statement signed by more than 10 UN member states published on the UN website by April 25, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Bulgaria's caretaker government remain in office without a new government sworn in by May 10, 2026, per official announcements from the Bulgarian Presidency website?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/11/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal vote (procedural or substantive) on any Iran-related resolution during the week of April 20–27, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 21, 2026 Syria briefing result in at least one Council member calling for new internationally supervised elections in Syria by a specific date, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/22/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council Colombia quarterly meeting on April 23, 2026 result in a press element (stakeout or press statement) from at least one Council member referencing the ELN ceasefire specifically, per UN or official national mission records?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will NATO issue a public statement on Bulgaria's April 2026 election results and Bulgaria's NATO commitments by April 25, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General António Guterres issue a formal statement or press briefing specifically addressing the Strait of Hormuz situation during the week of April 20–27, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one G7 foreign minister issue a formal statement referencing Bulgaria's election outcome and its implications for European security by April 27, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the CSTD 29th session (Geneva, April 20–24, 2026) include a dedicated agenda item on artificial intelligence governance, per UNCTAD's official session documents?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia's UN Ambassador make statements at the UN Security Council during the week of April 20–27, 2026 that explicitly accuse the United States of destabilizing actions or provocations, per official UN press coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council Ukraine open briefing on April 20, 2026 produce a formal request from Ukraine for a special session or emergency debate specifically on aerial attacks, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/21/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Kaja Kallas reference Bulgaria's election outcome or the rise of pro-Russian parties in Europe in her April 24, 2026 UN Security Council briefing, per official UN meetings coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 23, 2026 Colombia meeting result in the Verification Mission being described as having confirmed at least one new verified ceasefire violation by an armed group, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Movement for Rights and Freedoms – New Beginning (DPS-NN) led by Delyan Peevski receive more than 8% of the vote in Bulgaria's CEC-certified final results for the April 2026 election?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
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