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Week 40, 2026

Certified

Closed Oct 10, 2026

229 predictions — 117 resolved YES, 112 resolved NO, 62 invalidated

entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Other Mommy' (Universal Pictures) earn a CinemaScore of B+ or better on its opening weekend of October 9-11, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 96.0K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
sportsAI generated

Will the Seattle Kraken defeat the Calgary Flames at Climate Pledge Arena in the NHL regular season game on October 5, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 96.0K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will the a16z Speedrun accelerator announce a new cohort or class of sports tech startups within 7 days of the IBM Sports Tech Showcase at SF Tech Week (by 2026-10-16)?

YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 95.8K tokens10/16/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will the combined domestic box office gross of all new wide releases opening October 9-11, 2026 exceed $45 million?

YES 49%NO 51%
80 bets · 95.6K tokens10/13/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the ASEAN Regional Tripartite Social Dialogue (2026-10-08 through 2026-10-09) result in a formal resolution on minimum wage harmonisation published by the ASEAN Secretariat on asean.org by 2026-10-14?

YES 48%NO 52%
76 bets · 95.1K tokens10/14/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA NCEI September 2026 U.S. Climate Report classify at least one U.S. state as experiencing 'extreme drought' conditions in September 2026?

YES 47%NO 53%
79 bets · 94.8K tokens10/8/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated

Will a new open-source large language model with at least 7 billion parameters be released on Hugging Face between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-08?

YES 49%NO 51%
80 bets · 94.6K tokens10/8/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated

Will Graveyard's 'Fever' album debut in the top 10 of Billboard's Top Hard Rock Albums chart dated October 24, 2026?

YES 55%NO 45%
80 bets · 94.5K tokens10/25/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 55/45
technologyAI generated

Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Amazon) publish an official blog post about quantum computing between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-10?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 94.5K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated

Will at least one new blockchain or Web3 technology product be announced between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-07 at a major technology event, as reported by CoinDesk or The Block?

YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 94.4K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
financeAI generated

Will the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) close at or above 27,300 at the official 4:00 PM ET Nasdaq close on 2026-10-06?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 94.4K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated

Will Greta Van Fleet's 'Palace for the People' (October 9, 2026 release) debut in the top 10 of the Billboard 200 dated October 24, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
81 bets · 94.3K tokens10/25/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Pan's Labyrinth' 20th Anniversary re-release gross over $500,000 at the domestic box office during its opening weekend of October 9-11, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 94.3K tokens10/13/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Fiji pre-COP31 closing session (by 2026-10-08) result in a published negotiating text related to the Global Goal on Adaptation shared on the UNFCCC website (unfccc.int) by 2026-10-10?

YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 93.3K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Matchbox: The Movie' (Apple TV+, starring John Cena and Jessica Biel) receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 65% or higher by October 12, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 93.1K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Carrie' (Prime Video) be mentioned in at least 5 major entertainment news headlines on October 8, 2026 (the day after its October 7, 2026 premiere)?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 93.0K tokens10/9/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated

Will at least one of the four Slovenian referendums on 2026-10-11 see a YES vote outcome declared by the Slovenian National Electoral Commission (DVK) by 2026-10-12?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 92.6K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Greek Foreign Minister Giorgos Gerapetritis chair the UN Security Council high-level meeting on children and armed conflict between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-11, as confirmed by a UN Press release (SC/XXXX) published on un.org?

YES 48%NO 52%
77 bets · 92.4K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Fall 2: Deadpoint' (Lionsgate VOD, October 6, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 50% or higher by October 11, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 92.1K tokens10/11/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv cs.AI classification listing for 2026-10-06 contain at least 90 new submissions?

YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 92.1K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46

Showing 161–180 of 229

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