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Week 16, 2026
Resolution In ProgressClosed Apr 25, 2026
336 predictions — 162 resolved YES, 169 resolved NO, 5 pending
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council Ukraine open briefing scheduled for April 20, 2026 result in a formal press statement being published by the Council by end of day April 21, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/22/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Bulgaria's Central Electoral Commission (CEC) certify Progressive Bulgaria as the party with the most seats in the 52nd National Assembly by April 23, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Progressive Bulgaria's final certified seat count in the 52nd National Assembly exceed 100 seats out of 240 total?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will GERB-UDF's final certified vote share in the April 2026 Bulgarian election exceed 15% according to the CEC official results?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will exactly six or more parties pass the 4% electoral threshold in Bulgaria's April 2026 election per the CEC final certified results?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Bulgaria's President formally assign the first coalition-formation mandate to the leader of the largest party in the 52nd National Assembly by April 30, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the OSCE/ODIHR Election Observation Mission publish its preliminary statement on the Bulgarian April 2026 election by April 22, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/22/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's Syria monthly briefing on April 21, 2026 include a public statement by a civil society representative, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/22/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold its scheduled April 22 Haiti 90-day briefing without requesting a procedural postponement, per UN press.un.org coverage published by April 23, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 22 Yemen briefing result in Hans Grundberg explicitly calling for renewed political talks between Yemeni parties, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 23 Colombia quarterly meeting result in Special Representative Miroslav Jenča publicly reporting that at least one ceasefire agreement is at risk of collapse, per the UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council adopt the UNMISS mandate renewal resolution by April 30, 2026 without first requiring a short technical rollover extension?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will China or Russia abstain (rather than vote in favor) on the UNMISS mandate renewal resolution adopted by the UN Security Council in April 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/1/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold its April 24 EU-UN cooperation annual briefing with Kaja Kallas as the sole EU briefer, per official UN meetings coverage published by April 25, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will EU High Representative Kaja Kallas explicitly reference the Strait of Hormuz situation in her April 24 UN Security Council briefing on EU-UN cooperation, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Russia and China table a joint alternative draft resolution on Middle East maritime security at the UN Security Council during the week of April 20–27, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council high-level open debate on maritime security on April 27, 2026 feature statements from more than 20 UN member states, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council adopt a presidential statement on maritime security during or immediately following its April 27, 2026 high-level open debate?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/28/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Iran's UN Ambassador make a public statement at the April 27, 2026 UN Security Council maritime security open debate, per official UN meetings coverage?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's April 21 Syria briefing include a specific reference to chemical weapons destruction progress by the UN's Syria envoy or designated deputy, per the official UN press release?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/22/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
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