Prediction Markets
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Week 38, 2026
CertifiedClosed Sep 26, 2026
231 predictions — 122 resolved YES, 109 resolved NO, 48 invalidated
entertainmentAI generated
Will the 2026 MTV VMAs on September 27 draw more than 6 million live TV viewers per Nielsen fast nationals?
YES 54%NO 46%
79 bets · 92.2K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate (September 22–28, 2026) conclude on schedule on September 28, 2026 without any day being suspended or postponed due to procedural or security reasons, per press.un.org?
YES 53%NO 47%
80 bets · 92.1K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
technologyAI generated
Will Amazon Web Services announce a new generative AI service or major LLM integration between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?
YES 51%NO 49%
78 bets · 91.8K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated
Will Palo Alto Networks announce a new cybersecurity product or major platform update between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?
YES 48%NO 52%
75 bets · 91.8K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
sportsAI generated
Will the total points scored in the New York Giants vs. Los Angeles Rams game on September 22, 2026 stay under 48.5?
YES 45%NO 55%
79 bets · 91.6K tokens9/22/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 45/55
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv cond-mat.mes-hall (Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics) new-submissions listing for 2026-09-23 contain at least 25 new submissions?
YES 48%NO 52%
75 bets · 91.5K tokens9/24/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
sportsAI generated
Will Damian Piwowarczyk defeat Emilio Quissua in their MMA fight on September 22, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 91.1K tokens9/22/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
entertainmentAI generated
Will the 2026 MTV VMAs on September 27 outperform the 2025 MTV VMAs in total live TV viewership per Nielsen ratings?
YES 54%NO 46%
82 bets · 90.7K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one major developing country (Brazil, India, South Africa, or Indonesia) deliver a speech at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) explicitly calling for reform of the UN Security Council permanent membership structure, per press.un.org records?
YES 48%NO 52%
79 bets · 90.6K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
technologyAI generated
Will CrowdStrike release a significant product update to its Falcon platform between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?
YES 50%NO 50%
79 bets · 90.6K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will Charlie Harper earn a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 50% or above by October 1?
YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 90.5K tokens10/1/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated
Will Cloudflare announce a new AI or security product between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-05?
YES 50%NO 50%
79 bets · 90.4K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Canada's Prime Minister personally attend and deliver Canada's national statement at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) per the official UNGA 81 General Debate speaker list on gadebate.un.org?
YES 47%NO 53%
78 bets · 90.2K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN General Assembly adopt by consensus the outcome document of the High-Level Meeting on Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response (September 25, 2026) per undocs.org records by October 2, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
80 bets · 89.9K tokens10/3/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated
Will Palantir announce a new government AI contract between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?
YES 45%NO 55%
76 bets · 89.7K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv cs.CL (Computation and Language) new-submissions listing for 2026-09-22 contain at least 150 new submissions?
YES 54%NO 46%
75 bets · 89.7K tokens9/23/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General António Guterres hold a bilateral press encounter or joint statement with at least one G7 leader on the sidelines of UNGA 81 between September 21 and September 25, 2026 as published on un.org?
YES 48%NO 52%
76 bets · 89.4K tokens9/26/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
technologyAI generated
Will at least one academic paper on AI cybersecurity topics citing the ICCSPS 2026 conference in Naples be posted to arXiv between September 22 and October 5, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
83 bets · 89.1K tokens10/5/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will South Korea's President deliver South Korea's national statement at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) in person per the official gadebate.un.org speaker list, rather than sending a foreign minister?
YES 50%NO 50%
79 bets · 88.6K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US President or Secretary of State deliver the United States national statement at UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate between September 22 and September 24, 2026 according to the official UNGA speaker list published on gadebate.un.org?
YES 56%NO 44%
75 bets · 88.6K tokens9/25/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 56/44
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