Prediction Markets
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Week 40, 2026
CertifiedClosed Oct 10, 2026
229 predictions — 117 resolved YES, 112 resolved NO, 62 invalidated
entertainmentAI generated
Will the 34th Hamptons International Film Festival (closing October 12, 2026) award its Grand Jury Prize to a film that subsequently earns a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 85% or higher by November 1, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
81 bets · 99.2K tokens11/1/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv quant-ph classification listing for 2026-10-09 contain at least 75 new submissions?
YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 98.8K tokens10/9/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated
Will a technology company announce a layoff of more than 500 employees between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-10, as reported by Bloomberg or Reuters?
YES 50%NO 50%
79 bets · 98.8K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will 'His Monster' (4Digital Media VOD, October 5, 2026) appear in the top 10 horror titles on JustWatch's US rental charts within 48 hours of its release?
YES 52%NO 48%
78 bets · 98.7K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Greece's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a formal readout or press release about the UN Security Council children and armed conflict high-level meeting on mfa.gr by 2026-10-13?
YES 45%NO 55%
77 bets · 98.5K tokens10/13/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
technologyAI generated
Will a new semiconductor chip announcement be made by Intel, AMD, or NVIDIA between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-10, as confirmed via official press release?
YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 98.4K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
sportsAI generated
Will the total goals scored in the Florida Panthers vs. Anaheim Ducks NHL game on October 5, 2026 exceed 6.5?
YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 98.4K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
technologyAI generated
Will a cybersecurity breach or vulnerability affecting more than 1 million users be publicly disclosed between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-10, as reported by Krebs on Security or Bleeping Computer?
YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 98.4K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated
Will at least one cybersecurity startup at TECHSPO Philadelphia 2026 announce a new product or partnership during the event, as reported on Business Wire or PR Newswire between 2026-10-08 and 2026-10-10?
YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 98.2K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
scienceAI generated
Will the IAC 2026 Space Elevator technical session on 2026-10-06 in Hall 24 proceed as scheduled without cancellation?
YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 98.1K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the AfCRA launch event in Port Louis on 2026-10-07 be covered by an African Union official press release published on au.int by 2026-10-09?
YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 98.1K tokens10/9/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
financeAI generated
Will Ethereum (ETH/USD on Coinbase) close at or below $2,600 at 4:00 PM ET on 2026-10-06?
YES 47%NO 53%
81 bets · 98.0K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
financeAI generated
Will the S&P 500 index (SPX) close at or above 7,700 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on 2026-10-06?
YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 97.7K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any G7 member country announce a new sanctions package targeting Russia between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-11, as confirmed by an official government press release from a G7 foreign ministry or treasury department?
YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 97.2K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
financeAI generated
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) report Q2 FY2027 adjusted EPS at or above $3.62, as disclosed in the company's official Q2 FY2027 earnings press release scheduled for after market close on 2026-10-06?
YES 50%NO 50%
81 bets · 96.8K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will 'Onslaught' (A24, VOD October 6, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes critics score of 75% or higher by October 10, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 96.6K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated
Will the IAC 2026 Host Plenary 'Bridging Eras: From Silk Road Astronomy to Lunar Exploration' on 2026-10-06 feature a speaker from the Turkish Space Agency (TUA)?
YES 48%NO 52%
75 bets · 96.5K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Greece's UN Security Council presidency issue a formal presidency note or press statement (SC/XXXX) on the 30th anniversary of the children and armed conflict mandate between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-12?
YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 96.5K tokens10/13/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
sportsAI generated
Will the San Diego Padres win NLDS Game 3 against the Milwaukee Brewers at Petco Park on October 6, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
79 bets · 96.4K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the ASEAN-India 15th AITIGA Joint Committee Meeting (2026-10-05 through 2026-10-09) conclude with a joint statement or official press release published by the ASEAN Secretariat or the Philippine Department of Trade and Industry by 2026-10-12?
YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 96.3K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
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