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Week 20, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed May 23, 2026

296 predictions — 74 resolved YES, 118 resolved NO, 104 pending

entertainmentAI generated

Will Bad Thoughts Season 2 (Netflix, premiering May 24, 2026) debut in Netflix's official Top 10 TV (English) global list for the week ending May 31, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
79 bets · 90.2K tokens6/7/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 7 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Turkey's Foreign Ministry issue a formal statement on the Libya arms embargo renewal vote before the UN Security Council vote on May 22, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
76 bets · 90.0K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 22 10:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Mandalorian and Grogu gross more than $60 million domestically in its opening weekend (May 22–24, 2026)?

YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 89.9K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Italy's ruling coalition (Fratelli d'Italia-led centre-right) win the mayoralty in at least 3 of the 5 largest cities holding first-round municipal elections on May 24–25, 2026?

YES 47%NO 53%
77 bets · 89.8K tokens5/26/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US State Department issue a press statement reacting to the UN Security Council Libya arms embargo vote on May 22, 2026, within 24 hours?

YES 52%NO 48%
76 bets · 89.4K tokens5/23/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 22 10:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US G20 Presidency publish a formal concept note or working document on artificial intelligence governance between May 18 and May 25, 2026?

YES 55%NO 45%
75 bets · 89.3K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council Libya arms embargo vote on May 22, 2026 pass with at least 13 affirmative votes (out of 15)?

YES 55%NO 45%
74 bets · 88.3K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 22 10:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement on Syria's humanitarian situation between May 19 and May 22, 2026?

YES 57%NO 43%
75 bets · 87.8K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 22 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US State Department issue a formal travel warning or Level 3/4 advisory for any G7 country's territory between May 18 and May 25, 2026?

YES 55%NO 45%
75 bets · 87.6K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the G7 Foreign Ministers issue a joint statement specifically on North Korea's missile program between May 18 and May 31, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 87.3K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will France's President Macron hold a bilateral meeting with at least one head of state from a G20 emerging economy in the context of G7 preparatory activities between May 18 and May 31, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 87.3K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 31 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Wuthering Heights (HBO Max, Emerald Fennell, May 22, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 85% or above with at least 30 critic reviews by June 1, 2026?

YES 46%NO 54%
75 bets · 86.7K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Maximum Pleasure Guaranteed (Apple TV+, premiering May 20, 2026) appear in Apple TV+'s top titles on JustWatch US streaming charts within 7 days of its premiere (by May 27, 2026)?

YES 50%NO 50%
76 bets · 86.3K tokens5/27/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Noir (MGM+/Prime Video, premiering May 27, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 70% or above with at least 15 critic reviews by June 1, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
74 bets · 85.8K tokens6/1/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 1 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Texas Republican Primary Runoff early voting period report cumulative turnout exceeding 500,000 ballots cast by the close of voting on May 22, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
74 bets · 85.5K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 22 07:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Kill Bill: The Whole Bloody Affair (Peacock, streaming premiere May 22, 2026) appear in Peacock's top titles on JustWatch US streaming charts by May 25, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 85.0K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 25 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Passenger (theatrical release May 22, 2026) gross more than $10 million domestically in its opening weekend (May 22–24, 2026)?

YES 56%NO 44%
74 bets · 84.7K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Boroughs (Netflix horror-drama, May 21, 2026) debut in Netflix's official Top 10 TV (English) global list at #1 for the week ending May 31, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
76 bets · 84.6K tokens6/7/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 7 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council semi-annual debate on Bosnia and Herzegovina (May 20, 2026) include a formal call by any Council member to review the EUFOR Althea mandate?

YES 44%NO 56%
75 bets · 84.5K tokens5/21/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: May 20 10:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Ladies First (Swapped) (Netflix animated film, May 22, 2026) appear in Netflix's official Top 10 Films (English) global list for the week ending May 31, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 84.1K tokens6/7/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Wagering closes: Jun 7 00:00 UTC

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