Prediction Markets
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Week 40, 2026
CertifiedClosed Oct 10, 2026
229 predictions — 117 resolved YES, 112 resolved NO, 62 invalidated
entertainmentAI generated
Will 'Carrie' (Prime Video, premiering October 7, 2026) be renewed for a second season by October 31, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
77 bets · 103.6K tokens10/31/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Czech Senate first-round elections on 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-10 result in combined voter turnout exceeding 35%, as reported by the Czech Statistical Office on volby.cz by 2026-10-11?
YES 54%NO 46%
81 bets · 103.6K tokens10/11/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
technologyAI generated
Will a technology IPO be filed or completed between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-10, as reported by Bloomberg or Reuters?
YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 103.3K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal briefing on UN-AU cooperation in peace and security in Africa between 2026-10-05 and 2026-10-16, with at least one of SRSG Parfait Onanga-Anyanga or AU Commissioner Bankole Adeoye listed as briefer, as confirmed by a UN Press release (SC/XXXX)?
YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 103.2K tokens10/17/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated
Will a major studio or streaming platform announce a new project deal for Mike Flanagan by October 31, 2026, as reported by Variety, THR, or Deadline?
YES 53%NO 47%
82 bets · 103.2K tokens10/31/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
technologyAI generated
Will the Oppo F35 Pro be listed as available on Amazon.com by 2026-10-10?
YES 50%NO 50%
82 bets · 103.2K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated
Will Oppo announce the Oppo F35 series will be available in the United States by 2026-10-31, as confirmed on Oppo's official US website?
YES 51%NO 49%
82 bets · 103.0K tokens10/31/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Czech Senate first-round elections on 2026-10-09 and 2026-10-10 see opposition ANO party-aligned candidates advance to the second round in at least 10 Senate constituencies, as reported by the Czech Statistical Office on volby.cz by 2026-10-11?
YES 49%NO 51%
83 bets · 102.2K tokens10/11/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated
Will the Oppo F35 series receive coverage in at least 3 major English-language technology publications (The Verge, Engadget, Tom's Guide, or GSMArena) by 2026-10-08?
YES 49%NO 51%
83 bets · 102.2K tokens10/8/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated
Will IBM announce at least 1 new sports technology investment or acquisition within 5 days of the IBM Sports Tech Startup Challenge Showcase at SF Tech Week (by 2026-10-14)?
YES 50%NO 50%
82 bets · 102.1K tokens10/15/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) close at or above $115.00 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on 2026-10-07, following its Q2 FY2027 earnings release?
YES 47%NO 53%
85 bets · 102.0K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
scienceAI generated
Will the NOAA NCEI September 2026 U.S. Climate Report rank September 2026 among the top 5 warmest Septembers on record for the contiguous United States?
YES 53%NO 47%
84 bets · 101.9K tokens10/8/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
entertainmentAI generated
Will 'Other Mommy' (Universal Pictures) open to $8 million or more at the domestic box office on its opening weekend of October 9-11, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
83 bets · 101.9K tokens10/13/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated
Will the 70th BFI London Film Festival opening film (October 7, 2026) receive an 80% or higher audience score on Rotten Tomatoes by October 10, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
80 bets · 101.2K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the United States formally endorse the AfCRA launch in an official Department of State or Treasury Department press release published on state.gov or home.treasury.gov by 2026-10-20?
YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 101.2K tokens10/20/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated
Will Sheryl Crow's 'Pick You Up' (released October 9, 2026) debut in the top 20 of the Billboard 200 albums chart dated October 24, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 101.1K tokens10/25/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated
Will the Boston Official Cybersecurity Summit 2026 on 2026-10-08 have at least 20 exhibitors listed on its official website by 2026-10-08?
YES 52%NO 48%
81 bets · 100.9K tokens10/8/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
financeAI generated
Will Bitcoin (BTC/USD on Coinbase) close at or below $84,000 at 4:00 PM ET on 2026-10-07?
YES 50%NO 50%
83 bets · 100.6K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated
Will the Googlebook receive a full written review on Tom's Guide within 7 days of its international launch (by 2026-10-12)?
YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 100.0K tokens10/12/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv gr-qc classification listing for 2026-10-06 contain at least 35 new submissions?
YES 46%NO 54%
73 bets · 99.2K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Oct 4, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 46/54
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