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Week 30, 2026

Open

Betting open until Sat Aug 1, 17:00 UTC

279 predictions — 241 open, 38 resolved, 2 invalidated

entertainmentAI generated

Will Above and Below (theatrical release July 29, 2026) gross more than $1 million domestically in its first 4 days of release (July 29 – August 1, 2026)?

YES 55%NO 45%
78 bets · 102.1K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 29 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the Nasdaq Composite index (COMP) close at or above 25,500 at the official 4:00 PM ET Nasdaq closing print on 2026-07-31?

YES 51%NO 49%
88 bets · 101.7K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 31 20:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv hep-ex (High Energy Physics - Experiment) classification list at least 30 new submissions on 2026-08-01, the first day of ICHEP 2026 plenary sessions?

YES 55%NO 45%
81 bets · 101.6K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 1 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the USD/JPY exchange rate, as published in the Federal Reserve H.10 daily noon buying rate (FRED series DEXJPUS) on 2026-07-31, be at or above 163.50?

YES 51%NO 49%
84 bets · 101.4K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 31 17:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close at or below 17.5 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-07-31?

YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 101.3K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 31 20:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Saudi Arabian Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a formal press statement referencing the July 27, 2026 two-state solution conference by July 29, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
81 bets · 101.3K tokens7/29/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv physics.med-ph (Medical Physics) classification list at least 15 new submissions on 2026-07-29?

YES 55%NO 45%
80 bets · 101.3K tokens7/30/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 29 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Turkey's Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a formal statement about the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference between July 27 and August 1, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 101.0K tokens8/1/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close at or below 18.0 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-07-28?

YES 51%NO 49%
81 bets · 101.0K tokens7/28/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the African Union Commission issue a formal statement on the Israeli-Palestinian two-state solution in connection with the July 27, 2026 Italy–Saudi Arabia conference, by August 3, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 100.6K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 index (SPX) close at or above 7,450 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-07-30?

YES 48%NO 52%
82 bets · 100.2K tokens7/30/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 30 20:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will OpenAI announce a new ChatGPT model update or capability between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-04?

YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 100.2K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US Treasury Secretary issue a formal statement on G20 preparatory finance deputies meetings during the week of July 27, 2026, by August 2, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
80 bets · 99.5K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will Black Hat USA 2026 cybersecurity training sessions formally begin at Mandalay Bay Convention Center in Las Vegas on 2026-08-01 as scheduled?

YES 53%NO 47%
79 bets · 99.4K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 1 09:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will the PyPI package repository experience a reported outage or security incident between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-04?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 99.1K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 28 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will both SpaceX Falcon 9 launches (Vandenberg SFB on 2026-07-29 and Cape Canaveral SFS on 2026-07-30) successfully lift off within their respective scheduled windows of plus or minus 24 hours?

YES 53%NO 47%
78 bets · 99.0K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 29 02:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UNODC World Day Against Trafficking in Persons on July 30, 2026 include the announcement of at least one new inter-governmental cooperation agreement against trafficking, as published on the UNODC official website by August 2, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 99.0K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 30 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv cs.LG (Machine Learning) classification list at least 220 new submissions on 2026-07-28?

YES 54%NO 46%
80 bets · 98.6K tokens7/29/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Gentleman Thief gross more than $3 million in its opening weekend (July 31 – August 2, 2026) at the US domestic box office?

YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 98.5K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 31 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will I Want Your Sex (theatrical release July 31, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 60% or higher with at least 10 reviews counted by August 7, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
77 bets · 98.3K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 31 00:00 UTC

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