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Week 29, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed Jul 25, 2026

253 predictions — 75 resolved YES, 57 resolved NO, 121 pending

geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold its high-level open debate on natural resource governance under the DRC presidency between July 20 and August 1, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
84 bets · 113.5K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 2 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will COMEX copper futures front-month contract (HG1) settle at or below $4.40/lb at the CME Group official settlement on any trading day between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-25 (inclusive)?

YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 113.3K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA SWPC report at least one M-class or stronger solar flare (X-ray peak flux ≥ 1×10⁻⁵ W/m²) between July 20–August 3, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
84 bets · 113.3K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 4 00:00 UTC
sportsAI generated

Will the total runs in the San Diego Padres @ Atlanta Braves MLB game on July 20, 2026 go over 9?

YES 46%NO 54%
81 bets · 112.7K tokens7/20/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 46/54
financeAI generated

Will the GBP/USD spot exchange rate, as fixed at the WM/Refinitiv 4:00 PM London close on 2026-07-25, be at or above 1.3400?

YES 49%NO 51%
85 bets · 112.7K tokens7/25/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
financeAI generated

Will Ethereum (ETH/USD on Coinbase) move more than 8% from its 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC opening price at any point between 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC and 2026-07-25 23:59 UTC?

YES 51%NO 49%
91 bets · 112.6K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
financeAI generated

Will COMEX copper futures front-month contract (HG1) settle above $4.70/lb at the CME Group official settlement on at least one trading day between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-25 (inclusive)?

YES 51%NO 49%
84 bets · 112.4K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
financeAI generated

Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) close above 52,500 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on 2026-07-23?

YES 51%NO 49%
86 bets · 112.2K tokens7/23/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
scienceAI generated

Will a peer-reviewed paper reporting a novel AI or large-language-model application in genomics or drug discovery be published in Nature Medicine or Nature Biotechnology between July 20–August 2, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
82 bets · 112.1K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 3 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold its open debate on 'Strengthening the mechanisms for peaceful settlement of disputes' between July 20 and August 1, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
84 bets · 112.1K tokens8/2/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 2 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Brazil's government issue a formal statement on any G7 Évian Summit follow-up mechanism or implementation document between July 20 and August 10, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
84 bets · 111.9K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 11 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close at or below 16.00 at the official 4:15 PM ET CBOE close on 2026-07-25?

YES 51%NO 49%
87 bets · 111.8K tokens7/25/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
financeAI generated

Will the 10-year US Treasury yield (as published by the US Treasury) remain above 4.40% on every trading day between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-25 (inclusive)?

YES 48%NO 52%
84 bets · 111.7K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
scienceAI generated

Will SpaceX complete at least 5 successful Falcon 9 launches during July 20–August 2, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
82 bets · 111.5K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 3 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will Bitcoin (BTC/USD on Coinbase) close at or below $95,000 at 11:59 PM ET on 2026-07-25?

YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 111.3K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold a formal open debate on any topic not pre-scheduled on the DRC/Denmark programme of work during the week of July 20–27, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
85 bets · 111.1K tokens7/27/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Jul 27 00:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 index (SPX) close below 7,200 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE close on any trading day between 2026-07-21 and 2026-07-25 (inclusive)?

YES 52%NO 48%
84 bets · 111.1K tokens7/26/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
scienceAI generated

Will a major peer-reviewed study on ocean heat content or sea level rise be published in Science or Nature between July 20–August 2, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
82 bets · 110.8K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 3 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UK Foreign Office issue a formal statement on Balkan stability or Bosnia and Herzegovina between July 20 and August 10, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
83 bets · 110.8K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Wagering closes: Aug 11 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC ENSO Advisory issued during the week of July 20–27, 2026 confirm El Niño conditions are currently present and expected to strengthen?

YES 49%NO 51%
80 bets · 110.6K tokens7/27/2026
Generated: Jul 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51

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