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Week 31, 2026

Certified

Closed Aug 8, 2026

259 predictions — 110 resolved YES, 149 resolved NO

technologyAI generated

Will a new open-source AI coding assistant surpass 10,000 GitHub stars within its first week of release between August 3 and August 17, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
81 bets · 117.3K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
scienceAI generated

Will the Falcon 9 ASOG launch from Cape Canaveral on August 5, 2026 achieve orbit insertion with no anomalies reported by SpaceX within 6 hours of launch?

YES 53%NO 47%
84 bets · 117.3K tokens8/5/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv math.NA (numerical analysis) daily new-submissions listing for August 5, 2026 contain at least 22 new submissions?

YES 52%NO 48%
87 bets · 117.2K tokens8/6/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
sportsAI generated

Will the Penrith Panthers cover the +4.5 point spread against the New Zealand Warriors on August 7, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
87 bets · 117.0K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv astro-ph.EP (earth and planetary astrophysics) daily new-submissions listing for August 4, 2026 contain at least 18 new submissions?

YES 51%NO 49%
86 bets · 116.7K tokens8/5/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
sportsAI generated

Will the Yadier DelValle vs. Darren Elkins fight at the UFC event on August 9, 2026 last more than 2.5 rounds?

YES 50%NO 50%
90 bets · 116.1K tokens8/9/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv stat.ML (statistics and machine learning) daily new-submissions listing for August 4, 2026 contain at least 55 new submissions?

YES 50%NO 50%
90 bets · 116.0K tokens8/5/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated

Will Tesla announce a new full self-driving (FSD) software version or robotaxi milestone between August 3 and August 16, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
85 bets · 115.1K tokens8/16/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
sportsAI generated

Will Bruno Lopes defeat Diyar Nurgozhay at the UFC event on August 9, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
90 bets · 114.9K tokens8/9/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
sportsAI generated

Will the Seattle Storm cover the +8.5 point spread against the New York Liberty on August 3, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
85 bets · 114.8K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv astro-ph.HE (high energy astrophysical phenomena) daily new-submissions listing for August 4, 2026 contain at least 25 new submissions?

YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 114.8K tokens8/5/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv cs.LG daily new-submissions listing for August 7, 2026 contain at least 160 new submissions?

YES 52%NO 48%
85 bets · 114.7K tokens8/8/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv physics.med-ph (medical physics) daily new-submissions listing for August 6, 2026 contain at least 12 new submissions?

YES 51%NO 49%
86 bets · 114.2K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will a new AI regulation bill be introduced in the US Senate or House of Representatives between August 3 and August 17, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
83 bets · 114.0K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
scienceAI generated

Will the Long March 8A rocket launch from Wenchang Space Launch Site on August 4, 2026 successfully reach orbit?

YES 54%NO 46%
84 bets · 112.7K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
financeAI generated

Will the 10-year US Treasury par yield (US10Y), as published in the US Treasury Daily Par Yield Curve on 2026-08-08, be at or above 4.70%?

YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 112.6K tokens8/8/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
sportsAI generated

Will the Arizona Cardinals score more points than the Carolina Panthers in the 2026 NFL Hall of Fame Game on August 6, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
85 bets · 112.2K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
sportsAI generated

Will the total runs scored in the St. Louis Cardinals @ New York Yankees game on August 3, 2026 exceed 8?

YES 47%NO 53%
82 bets · 111.7K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv hep-ph (high energy physics – phenomenology) daily new-submissions listing for August 7, 2026 contain at least 50 new submissions?

YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 111.7K tokens8/8/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated

Will Shopify (SHOP) stock close higher on August 10, 2026 than on August 5, 2026, following its Q2 2026 earnings release?

YES 51%NO 49%
83 bets · 111.5K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49

Showing 81100 of 259

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