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Week 37, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed Sep 19, 2026

300 predictions — 89 resolved YES, 130 resolved NO, 81 pending

financeAI generated

Will the 10-year US Treasury par yield, as published in the US Treasury Daily Yield Curve (treasury.gov) for 2026-10-01, be at or above 5.10%?

YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 118.9K tokens10/1/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Wagering closes: Oct 1 20:00 UTC
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 index (SPX) close above 7,850 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-10-02?

YES 51%NO 49%
86 bets · 118.7K tokens10/2/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Wagering closes: Oct 2 20:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA NCEI August 2026 Global Climate Report confirm August 2026 as the warmest August on record with a global temperature anomaly above 1.30°C relative to the 20th-century average?

YES 50%NO 50%
84 bets · 118.4K tokens9/22/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the GBP/USD exchange rate (Fed H.10 daily noon buying rate, FRED series DEXUSUK) print at or below 1.3700 on 2026-09-18?

YES 49%NO 51%
86 bets · 118.3K tokens9/19/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
financeAI generated

Will the 10-year US Treasury par yield, as published in the US Treasury Daily Yield Curve (treasury.gov) for 2026-09-19, be at or above 5.00%?

YES 49%NO 51%
87 bets · 117.9K tokens9/19/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
sportsAI generated

Will the Las Vegas Raiders defeat the Los Angeles Chargers in their NFL Week 2 AFC West divisional game on September 20, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
89 bets · 117.7K tokens9/20/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
financeAI generated

Will Bitcoin (BTC/USD on Coinbase) close at or above $80,000 at 11:59 PM UTC on 2026-09-19?

YES 51%NO 49%
85 bets · 117.5K tokens9/19/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
financeAI generated

Will the Pending Home Sales Index for August 2026, as released by the National Association of Realtors at 10:00 AM ET on 2026-09-19, show a month-over-month change of 0% or better (flat or positive)?

YES 50%NO 50%
85 bets · 116.9K tokens9/19/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA NCEI August 2026 Global Climate Report be publicly released by 2026-09-18?

YES 51%NO 49%
89 bets · 116.8K tokens9/18/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
scienceAI generated

Will the NSIDC Arctic sea ice extent be below 4.3 million km² on 2026-09-20?

YES 51%NO 49%
82 bets · 116.5K tokens9/21/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will Apple announce any new software developer tool or API update via its Apple Developer news feed on September 15, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
84 bets · 116.5K tokens9/15/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
scienceAI generated

Will SpaceX Starship Flight 14 be officially scrubbed or postponed past 2026-09-20 by SpaceX?

YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 116.5K tokens9/20/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the USD/CHF exchange rate (Fed H.10 daily noon buying rate, FRED series DEXSZUS) print at or above 0.8050 on 2026-09-18?

YES 50%NO 50%
83 bets · 116.2K tokens9/19/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated

Will Meta AI publish a new open-source model or research update on its official blog between September 15 and September 17, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
83 bets · 116.1K tokens9/17/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 15 00:00 UTC
sportsAI generated

Will the San Francisco Giants defeat the Oakland Athletics in their MLB game on September 14, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 116.0K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv cs.NE (Neural and Evolutionary Computing) listing for 2026-09-17 contain at least 22 new submissions?

YES 49%NO 51%
88 bets · 115.9K tokens9/18/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated

Will SpaceX Starship Flight 14 successfully launch from Starbase, Texas by 2026-09-18?

YES 51%NO 49%
81 bets · 115.8K tokens9/18/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will the Stack Overflow Developer Survey 2026 report be published on the Stack Overflow official website between September 14 and September 30, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
83 bets · 115.7K tokens10/1/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 14 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will ESA's FLEX satellite confirm successful solar panel deployment within 24 hours of the Vega-C VV30 launch on 2026-09-15?

YES 52%NO 48%
88 bets · 115.6K tokens9/16/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
financeAI generated

Will the 30-year US Treasury par yield, as published in the US Treasury Daily Yield Curve (treasury.gov) for 2026-09-30, be at or above 5.50%?

YES 50%NO 50%
86 bets · 115.6K tokens9/30/2026
Generated: Sep 13, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 30 20:00 UTC

Showing 6180 of 300

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