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Week 20, 2026

Certified

Closed May 23, 2026

286 predictions — 113 resolved YES, 173 resolved NO, 10 invalidated

technologyAI generated

Will the NASDAQ-100 index close above 21,500 at least once between 2026-05-18 and 2026-06-06?

YES 49%NO 51%
82 bets · 106.1K tokens6/6/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
scienceAI generated

Will a new paper reporting direct detection of gravitational waves from a neutron star binary merger appear in Physical Review Letters or Physical Review D between May 18–25, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 105.8K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Noir (MGM+/Prime Video, premiering May 27, 2026) appear in Prime Video's Top 10 most-watched titles in the US by May 31, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 105.6K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated

Will Mortal Kombat II gross more than $80 million cumulatively domestic by end of May 28, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
81 bets · 105.2K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any candidate for the 10th UN Secretary-General position formally withdraw their candidacy during the week of May 18–24, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
80 bets · 104.7K tokens5/24/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
technologyAI generated

Will Google announce a new AI safety or responsible AI framework or tool at Google I/O 2026 on 2026-05-19?

YES 52%NO 48%
84 bets · 104.1K tokens5/19/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UNGA Informal Plenary on Security Council Reform (May 19, 2026) produce a written summary or chair's note formally circulated to member states by May 22, 2026?

YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 103.5K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will Google announce a new multimodal feature for Gemini (combining text, image, audio, and video in a single prompt) at Google I/O 2026 on 2026-05-19?

YES 50%NO 50%
82 bets · 103.5K tokens5/19/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will Rick and Morty Season 9's premiere episode (Adult Swim, May 24, 2026) draw more than 1.5 million same-day viewers according to Nielsen Live+SD ratings?

YES 53%NO 47%
80 bets · 103.0K tokens5/26/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated

Will France's Foreign Ministry (Quai d'Orsay) publish an official statement on UN Security Council reform between May 19 and May 22, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
78 bets · 102.7K tokens5/22/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
entertainmentAI generated

Will the SkyMed Season 4 premiere (Paramount+, May 21, 2026) appear in any published weekly streaming top 10 chart in Canada by May 28, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
79 bets · 102.5K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the US impose new sanctions on any Iranian entity under any Iran-related OFAC authority between May 18 and May 31, 2026?

YES 46%NO 54%
78 bets · 102.5K tokens5/31/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 46/54
entertainmentAI generated

Will the weekend domestic box office top spot for May 22–24, 2026 be held by The Mandalorian and Grogu?

YES 51%NO 49%
80 bets · 101.6K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
technologyAI generated

Will OpenAI announce a new flagship model (GPT-5 or equivalent successor) between 2026-05-18 and 2026-06-10?

YES 49%NO 51%
81 bets · 101.2K tokens6/10/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
entertainmentAI generated

Will Wuthering Heights (HBO Max/Emerald Fennell, May 22, 2026) appear in the Max Top 10 most-watched titles within 7 days of its premiere (by May 29, 2026) on JustWatch US charts?

YES 50%NO 50%
81 bets · 100.2K tokens5/29/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will Mortal Kombat II be the #2 or higher domestic box office film for the weekend of May 22–24, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 100.1K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will the combined domestic opening weekend gross of all new wide releases (May 22–24, 2026) exceed $150 million?

YES 53%NO 47%
81 bets · 99.4K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
technologyAI generated

Will Google announce a new health or medical AI application powered by Gemini at Google I/O 2026 on 2026-05-19?

YES 53%NO 47%
81 bets · 99.3K tokens5/19/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council vote to renew the Libya arms embargo maritime inspection authorization before the May 25, 2026 expiry deadline?

YES 55%NO 45%
79 bets · 99.1K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 55/45
entertainmentAI generated

Will Future Islands' new album (released May 22, 2026) debut in the top 20 of the Billboard 200 chart dated June 6, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
79 bets · 99.0K tokens6/6/2026
Generated: May 17, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52

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