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Week 16, 2026

Certified

Closed Apr 25, 2026

331 predictions — 162 resolved YES, 170 resolved NO, 5 invalidated

scienceAI generated

Will Nature Medicine publish a clinical study on mRNA vaccine efficacy with a trial population of at least 10,000 participants between April 20–27, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC Long-Lead Seasonal Forecast released in late April 2026 predict above-normal temperatures for more than 50% of the contiguous United States for the June–August 2026 period?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/30/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launch from Vandenberg NET April 25, 2026 result in a successful booster landing on drone ship OCISLY?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will a new exoplanet discovery paper with a confirmed planet in the habitable zone appear in a peer-reviewed journal indexed on NASA ADS between April 20–27, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the CDC publish a Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) between April 20–24, 2026 that includes a report on an infectious disease outbreak affecting more than 100 people in the United States?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the USGS earthquake catalog record a magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake anywhere in the world between April 20–27, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the ULA Atlas V rocket successfully launch its payload on April 28, 2026 within 24 hours of its scheduled 08:51 UTC launch time?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/30/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will NASA publish a new James Webb Space Telescope science image or dataset on their official JWST website between April 27–May 3, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/4/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the USGS earthquake catalog record a magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquake anywhere in the world between April 27–May 4, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/5/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 from Vandenberg NET April 25, 2026 successfully deploy all 25 Starlink V2 Mini Optimized satellites to low Earth orbit?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Half Man' on HBO receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 95% or higher within 7 days of its April 23, 2026 premiere?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Half Man' (HBO) be renewed or confirmed for a second season or additional episodes by any official announcement by May 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/16/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Half Man' on HBO receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 90% or higher within 7 days of its April 23, 2026 premiere?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Michael' (2026) gross more than $50 million domestically in its opening weekend (April 25–27, 2026)?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/28/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will Foo Fighters' album 'Your Favorite Toy' debut at #1 on the Billboard 200 chart dated May 9, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Michael' (2026) biopic face any publicly reported legal injunction or court action filed before April 27, 2026 that delays or alters its theatrical release?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/28/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'APEX' (Netflix, starring Charlize Theron) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 70% or higher within 5 days of its April 24, 2026 premiere?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Funny AF with Kevin Hart' on Netflix receive a Rotten Tomatoes Audience Score of 70% or higher within 7 days of its April 20, 2026 premiere?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Michael' (2026) gross more than $90 million domestically in its opening weekend (April 25–27, 2026)?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/28/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will 'Michael' (2026) gross more than $75 million domestically in its opening weekend (April 25–27, 2026)?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/28/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50

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