Prediction Markets
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Week 32, 2026
Pending CertificationClosed Aug 15, 2026
281 predictions — 114 resolved YES, 167 resolved NO
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv cs.LG new-submissions listing for 2026-08-10 contain at least 85 new submissions?
YES 53%NO 47%
70 bets · 82.3K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Nigerian Labour Party (LP) candidate finish in second place (by vote share) in the Osun State 2026 gubernatorial election on August 15, 2026, per INEC official results?
YES 52%NO 48%
78 bets · 82.2K tokens8/20/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
entertainmentAI generated
Will Katseye's EP 'Wild' debut in the top 20 of the Billboard 200 chart dated August 29, 2026?
YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 81.6K tokens8/30/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
entertainmentAI generated
Will Hard Knocks Season 22 Episode 2 (Seattle Seahawks) receive an IMDb user rating of 7.5 or higher (with at least 200 ratings) within 7 days of its August 11, 2026 airdate?
YES 45%NO 55%
73 bets · 81.6K tokens8/18/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
entertainmentAI generated
Will Flowervale Street receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score above 75% with at least 40 reviews counted by August 17, 2026?
YES 42%NO 58%
72 bets · 81.2K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 42/58
entertainmentAI generated
Will Reacher Season 4 appear in FlixPatrol's Amazon Prime Video US Top 10 TV chart for at least 5 days during August 10–16, 2026?
YES 51%NO 49%
72 bets · 79.9K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated
Will Marilyn Manson's 'One Assassination Under God – Chapter 2' receive a Metacritic score of 65 or higher by August 28, 2026?
YES 52%NO 48%
72 bets · 78.9K tokens8/28/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
entertainmentAI generated
Will Flowervale Street gross more than PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie domestically in the opening weekend of August 14–16, 2026?
YES 58%NO 42%
71 bets · 78.7K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 58/42
technologyAI generated
Will the NASDAQ Composite Index close above its 2026-08-10 opening level on 2026-08-10?
YES 47%NO 53%
69 bets · 77.7K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any country formally announce intent to withdraw from a multilateral arms control treaty between August 10 and August 20, 2026, as published via an official government press release or UN Treaty Collection notice on treaties.un.org?
YES 50%NO 50%
73 bets · 77.2K tokens8/20/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated
Will Marilyn Manson's 'One Assassination Under God – Chapter 2' debut at #1 on the Billboard Top Rock Albums chart dated August 29, 2026?
YES 55%NO 45%
72 bets · 77.1K tokens8/30/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 55/45
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Palestinian Authority's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a statement on mofa.pna.ps between August 26 and August 31, 2026 calling for UNSC action beyond the monthly briefing following the August 2026 UNSC Middle East meeting?
YES 47%NO 53%
72 bets · 76.5K tokens8/31/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
entertainmentAI generated
Will PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie's cumulative domestic gross surpass $40 million by August 24, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
71 bets · 76.1K tokens8/25/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
entertainmentAI generated
Will Reacher Season 4 achieve a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 85% or higher with at least 20 reviews counted by August 19, 2026?
YES 54%NO 46%
71 bets · 75.6K tokens8/19/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
entertainmentAI generated
Will PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie gross more than $25 million domestically in its opening weekend (August 14–16, 2026)?
YES 56%NO 44%
73 bets · 75.2K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
sportsAI generated
Will Kamilla Cardoso score more than 14.5 points in the Chicago Sky vs. Seattle Storm game on August 11, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
71 bets · 72.5K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
entertainmentAI generated
Will Flowervale Street have a domestic second weekend gross (August 21–23, 2026) of more than $15 million?
YES 48%NO 52%
73 bets · 72.3K tokens8/24/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated
Will Ayra Starr's 'Starr Girl' receive a score of 70 or higher on Metacritic by August 28, 2026?
YES 44%NO 56%
73 bets · 71.3K tokens8/28/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 44/56
technologyAI generated
Will Cloudflare (NET) stock close above $95 on 2026-08-10?
YES 43%NO 57%
67 bets · 69.8K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 43/57
geopoliticsAI generated
Will at least one incumbent Vermont U.S. House Representative win their primary with more than 65% of the vote on August 11, 2026, according to Vermont Secretary of State official results?
YES 51%NO 49%
74 bets · 68.6K tokens8/12/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
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