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Week 30, 2026

Certified

Closed Aug 1, 2026

279 predictions — 110 resolved YES, 171 resolved NO, 2 invalidated

technologyAI generated

Will Meta release a new version of the Llama large language model family between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-07?

YES 51%NO 49%
78 bets · 89.5K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will Fightland (Starz, premiering July 31, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 65% or higher (with at least 5 reviews counted) by August 7, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
77 bets · 89.5K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
technologyAI generated

Will SpaceX conduct a Starship test flight between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-11?

YES 50%NO 50%
77 bets · 89.3K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
technologyAI generated

Will Microsoft (MSFT) announce a specific new Copilot AI product or capability during the Visual Studio Live! @ Microsoft HQ conference between 2026-07-28 and 2026-07-30?

YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 89.0K tokens7/30/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will the film A Paradise Lost (theatrical release July 31, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 65% or higher with at least 10 reviews counted by August 7, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
80 bets · 89.0K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Librarians: The Next Chapter Season 2 premiere (TNT, August 2, 2026) attract at least 600,000 live viewers according to Nielsen fast-affiliate ratings published by August 9, 2026?

YES 40%NO 60%
74 bets · 88.8K tokens8/9/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 40/60
entertainmentAI generated

Will the domestic box office number one film for the opening weekend of July 31 – August 2, 2026 gross more than $200 million?

YES 56%NO 44%
76 bets · 88.4K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 56/44
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Venezuela government-opposition talks launched on July 28, 2026 produce a joint statement or communiqué by August 4, 2026, as confirmed by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs or official Venezuelan government sources?

YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 88.3K tokens8/5/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
technologyAI generated

Will Apple (AAPL) report Q3 FY2026 earnings that beat analyst consensus EPS estimates on 2026-07-30?

YES 53%NO 47%
76 bets · 88.2K tokens7/30/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman personally attend the Italy–Saudi Arabia two-state solution conference on July 27, 2026, as confirmed by Saudi state media SPA by July 28, 2026?

YES 55%NO 45%
73 bets · 88.1K tokens7/28/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 55/45
technologyAI generated

Will the Black Hat USA 2026 CISO Summit on 2026-08-04 in Las Vegas feature a formally announced AI-specific security track or AI Security Summit session listed on the official Black Hat USA 2026 website by 2026-08-04?

YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 88.1K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 index (SPX) close at or above 7,350 at the official 4:00 PM ET NYSE closing print on 2026-07-28?

YES 44%NO 56%
78 bets · 88.1K tokens7/28/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 44/56
entertainmentAI generated

Will Batman: Caped Crusader Season 2 (Prime Video, July 31, 2026) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 90% or higher with at least 10 reviews counted by August 7, 2026?

YES 55%NO 45%
75 bets · 87.5K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 55/45
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day open at #1 at the UK box office in the chart for the weekend of July 31 – August 2, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
75 bets · 86.9K tokens8/4/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated

Will a new critical vulnerability in OpenSSL be disclosed between 2026-07-28 and 2026-08-18?

YES 51%NO 49%
75 bets · 86.8K tokens8/18/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day's Tomatometer score on Rotten Tomatoes exceed 91% (the score for Spider-Man: No Way Home) with at least 50 reviews counted by August 3, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
80 bets · 86.7K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
financeAI generated

Will the ADP National Employment Report for July 2026, as released at 8:15 AM ET on 2026-07-28, show private payroll growth of 150,000 or more?

YES 44%NO 56%
75 bets · 86.7K tokens7/28/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 44/56
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day's (releasing July 31, 2026) soundtrack/album reach #1 on Apple Music's Top Albums chart in the UK at any point between July 31 and August 6, 2026?

YES 56%NO 44%
77 bets · 86.3K tokens8/6/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
entertainmentAI generated

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be positively reviewed (Tomatometer 70% or higher, at least 50 reviews) on Rotten Tomatoes by July 31, 2026?

YES 43%NO 57%
74 bets · 86.0K tokens7/31/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 43/57
technologyAI generated

Will Microsoft publish a Patch Tuesday security update on 2026-08-11?

YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 85.8K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Jul 27, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48

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