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Week 31, 2026

Certified

Closed Aug 8, 2026

259 predictions — 110 resolved YES, 149 resolved NO

geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Virginia August 4, 2026 U.S. House primary election produce at least one race with a margin of victory smaller than 5 percentage points, according to Virginia Department of Elections official results by August 7, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
75 bets · 84.7K tokens8/7/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated

Will China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson explicitly mention ASEAN drug control cooperation or the ASOD Meeting in their daily press briefing transcripts on any day between August 3 and August 7, 2026, as published on the MOFA spokesperson's official page?

YES 50%NO 50%
74 bets · 84.6K tokens8/8/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Hawaii August 8, 2026 primary election for any U.S. House seat result in a race with a margin of victory exceeding 40 percentage points, according to Hawaii Office of Elections official results by August 10, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 84.3K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Librarians: The Next Chapter Season 2 premiere on August 3, 2026 achieve a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 70% or higher with at least 10 critic reviews counted by August 10, 2026?

YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 84.2K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
sportsAI generated

Will the Boston Red Sox defeat the Los Angeles Dodgers on August 3, 2026?

YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 83.8K tokens8/3/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Thailand's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish an official statement on the 47th ASOD Meeting outcomes (August 3–7, 2026) by August 10, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
74 bets · 82.6K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated

Will Uber Technologies (UBER) announce a specific autonomous vehicle (robotaxi) expansion partnership or deployment milestone on its August 5, 2026 earnings call?

YES 54%NO 46%
76 bets · 82.3K tokens8/6/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the United States impose new sanctions on any individual or entity related to Russia's defense industry between August 3 and August 10, 2026, as announced by OFAC on the U.S. Treasury Department website?

YES 50%NO 50%
74 bets · 81.4K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the ASEAN-Australia/New Zealand SEOM-CER consultation (August 10, 2026) produce a joint communiqué or official readout published by Australia's Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade by August 13, 2026?

YES 48%NO 52%
77 bets · 81.2K tokens8/13/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Ballad of Wallis Island receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 75% or higher with at least 15 critic reviews counted by August 14, 2026?

YES 46%NO 54%
76 bets · 81.0K tokens8/14/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 46/54
entertainmentAI generated

Will One Night Only gross more than $15 million in its opening weekend (August 7–10, 2026) domestically according to Box Office Mojo?

YES 47%NO 53%
74 bets · 80.8K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated

Will AMD (AMD) raise its full-year 2026 revenue guidance on its August 5, 2026 earnings call?

YES 52%NO 48%
73 bets · 80.0K tokens8/6/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Michigan Democratic Party primary election for U.S. Senate on August 4, 2026 result in a candidate winning with more than 55% of the vote, according to official Michigan Secretary of State results?

YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 79.5K tokens8/9/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish an official press release welcoming or summarizing outcomes of the 4th ASEAN-Japan MIDORI Cooperation Plan meeting (August 6, 2026) on its official website by August 10, 2026?

YES 44%NO 56%
74 bets · 78.2K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 44/56
technologyAI generated

Will Uber Technologies (UBER) disclose that its autonomous vehicle (AV) trip count has exceeded 1 million cumulative trips globally on its August 5, 2026 earnings call?

YES 50%NO 50%
73 bets · 76.2K tokens8/6/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the U.S. House of Representatives pass any legislation related to trade or tariff policy between August 3 and August 10, 2026, as recorded on congress.gov roll-call votes?

YES 50%NO 50%
75 bets · 75.6K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the 47th ASEAN Senior Officials on Drug Matters (ASOD) Meeting (August 3–7, 2026) produce a joint statement explicitly calling for enhanced information-sharing mechanisms with all six partner countries (China, Japan, South Korea, Australia, India, and Russia)?

YES 47%NO 53%
73 bets · 73.3K tokens8/9/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the U.S. Treasury Department impose new sanctions on any Myanmar military official or junta-linked entity between August 3 and August 17, 2026, as announced on the OFAC website?

YES 47%NO 53%
74 bets · 72.6K tokens8/18/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
entertainmentAI generated

Will Super Troopers 3 have a CinemaScore audience grade of B or higher, as reported by Deadline or THR on or before August 10, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
73 bets · 71.1K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 2, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 45/55

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