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Week 17, 2026
Resolution In ProgressClosed May 2, 2026
317 predictions — 172 resolved YES, 112 resolved NO, 33 pending
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the EU issue a formal statement welcoming the formation of a new Bulgarian government and reaffirming Bulgaria's EU membership commitments by May 25, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/25/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Wagering closes: May 25 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a formal briefing on the situation in Kosovo during May 2026, per official press.un.org coverage published by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a high-level briefing on Middle East maritime security specifically referencing the Strait of Hormuz during May 2026, per official press.un.org coverage by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a Sudan briefing during May 2026 at which the Personal Envoy of the Secretary-General specifically mentions humanitarian access deterioration, per official UN press coverage by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Wagering closes: May 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Bulgaria's Progressive Bulgaria-led government, once formed, formally reaffirm Bulgaria's membership in NATO in its first official policy statement by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Wagering closes: May 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council receive a briefing on protection of humanitarian and UN personnel during May 2026, per official press.un.org records by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Wagering closes: May 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council adopt a Ukraine-related resolution or presidential statement during May 2026, per official press.un.org records published by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Revival (Vazrazhdane) party announce opposition to any Progressive Bulgaria-led government by May 10, 2026, per official party or major Bulgarian news sources?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the 52nd Bulgarian National Assembly elect a Speaker (chairman of parliament) by May 14, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria formally nominate a prime minister candidate to the Bulgarian President by May 7, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/7/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council extend the Libya Panel of Experts mandate before May 15, 2026 without a veto?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold at least one unscheduled emergency meeting on the Middle East (Iran/Israel/US conflict) during May 2026, per official press.un.org coverage published by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Wagering closes: May 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 Colombia meeting result in the Verification Mission being described as having confirmed at least one new verified ceasefire violation by an armed group, per the official UN press release by May 14, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 programme include a high-level open debate chaired by the May presidency, per official press.un.org coverage published by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's UNMISS mandate renewal vote receive at least 12 affirmative votes, per the official voting record published by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will China or Russia abstain (rather than vote in favor) on the UNMISS mandate renewal resolution adopted by the UN Security Council by May 28, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 Colombia meeting result in a press element from at least one Council member referencing the ELN ceasefire specifically, per UN or official national mission records published by May 14, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's Colombia quarterly briefing scheduled for early May 2026 result in Special Representative Miroslav Jenča publicly reporting that at least one ceasefire agreement is at risk of collapse, per the official UN press release by May 14, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold a Ukraine briefing at which a Council member formally requests an additional emergency debate specifically on aerial attacks, per the official UN press release published by May 7, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/7/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 Haiti briefing result in a Council member formally requesting expansion of the Multinational Security Support Mission (MSS) mandate or troop count, per UN press coverage by May 10, 2026?
YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
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