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Week 17, 2026

Certified

Closed May 2, 2026

293 predictions — 180 resolved YES, 120 resolved NO, 24 invalidated

geopoliticsAI generated

Will Progressive Bulgaria form and have a new Council of Ministers sworn in by May 20, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/20/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold a formal vote on any Iran-related resolution during the week of April 27 – May 3, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/3/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Ukraine's foreign ministry issue a formal statement expressing concern about Bulgaria's new government's military support policy by May 10, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will NATO issue a public statement on Bulgaria's new government and Bulgaria's NATO commitments by May 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any EU foreign affairs minister or the EU High Representative publicly issue a statement expressing concern about Bulgaria's new government's EU foreign policy orientation by May 10, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will PP-DB (We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria) publicly announce formal coalition support for a Progressive Bulgaria-led government by May 10, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Bulgaria's caretaker government remain in office without a new government sworn in by May 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Bulgaria's President formally assign the first government-formation mandate to Progressive Bulgaria's leader Rumen Radev by May 5, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/5/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council's UNMISS mandate renewal vote receive at least 12 affirmative votes, per the official voting record published by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 programme include a high-level open debate chaired by the May presidency, per official press.un.org coverage published by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council's May 2026 Colombia meeting result in the Verification Mission being described as having confirmed at least one new verified ceasefire violation by an armed group, per the official UN press release by May 14, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council extend the Libya Panel of Experts mandate before May 15, 2026 without a veto?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria formally nominate a prime minister candidate to the Bulgarian President by May 7, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/7/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the 52nd Bulgarian National Assembly elect a Speaker (chairman of parliament) by May 14, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Revival (Vazrazhdane) party announce opposition to any Progressive Bulgaria-led government by May 10, 2026, per official party or major Bulgarian news sources?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council adopt a Ukraine-related resolution or presidential statement during May 2026, per official press.un.org records published by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold a Sudan briefing during May 2026 at which the Personal Envoy of the Secretary-General specifically mentions humanitarian access deterioration, per official UN press coverage by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council receive a briefing on protection of humanitarian and UN personnel during May 2026, per official press.un.org records by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council hold a high-level briefing on Middle East maritime security specifically referencing the Strait of Hormuz during May 2026, per official press.un.org coverage by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will China or Russia abstain (rather than vote in favor) on the UNMISS mandate renewal resolution adopted by the UN Security Council by May 28, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/28/2026
Generated: Apr 26, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50

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