Prediction Markets
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Week 32, 2026
Pending CertificationClosed Aug 15, 2026
281 predictions — 114 resolved YES, 167 resolved NO
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council's closed consultations on the DPRK 1718 Sanctions Committee (August 2026) be followed by a chair's briefing statement published on press.un.org by September 1, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
78 bets · 89.2K tokens9/2/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Ademola Adeleke of the Accord party win re-election as Governor of Osun State in Nigeria's August 15, 2026 gubernatorial election, as declared by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC)?
YES 51%NO 49%
76 bets · 89.0K tokens8/20/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a formal statement on mfa.gov.ir between August 26 and August 31, 2026 responding to the UN Security Council's Monthly Briefing on the Middle East and Palestinian Question?
YES 51%NO 49%
79 bets · 88.8K tokens8/31/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the European Union publish new sanctions listings in the Official Journal of the EU related to Russia or Belarus between August 10 and August 16, 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%
76 bets · 88.6K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 56/44
entertainmentAI generated
Will Katseye's 'Wild' EP appear in Spotify's Global Daily Top Albums chart (top 10) within 3 days of its August 14, 2026 release?
YES 52%NO 48%
78 bets · 88.2K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any incumbent U.S. House Republican lose their primary in Wisconsin's August 11, 2026 primary elections, according to Wisconsin Elections Commission official results?
YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 88.1K tokens8/18/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated
Will Ayra Starr's 'Starr Girl' chart in the top 5 on the Apple Music US album chart within 3 days of its August 14, 2026 release?
YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 88.0K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
entertainmentAI generated
Will PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie gross more than $50 million domestically in its first 10 days of release (August 14–23, 2026)?
YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 87.9K tokens8/24/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated
Will Zoom Video Communications (ZM) stock close above $80 on 2026-08-14?
YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 87.8K tokens8/14/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Georgia's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a formal statement on mfa.gov.ge calling for a new international investigation into the 2008 Russia-Georgia War between August 10 and August 16, 2026?
YES 46%NO 54%
75 bets · 87.6K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 46/54
geopoliticsAI generated
Will China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs publish a statement between August 10 and August 16, 2026 on fmprc.gov.cn opposing or objecting to the UN Security Council meeting marking the 18th anniversary of the 2008 Russia-Georgia War?
YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 87.5K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
scienceAI generated
Will the JAXA/MHI H3 rocket successfully launch the Michibiki No. 7 (QZS-7) satellite from Tanegashima on 2026-08-10?
YES 46%NO 54%
72 bets · 87.4K tokens8/10/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 46/54
sportsAI generated
Will the Milwaukee Brewers defeat the San Diego Padres on August 11, 2026?
YES 49%NO 51%
77 bets · 87.1K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council hold at least 4 distinct formal meetings or briefings on its public calendar between August 10 and August 31, 2026, as recorded on the UN Security Council's meeting schedule on un.org?
YES 52%NO 48%
76 bets · 86.9K tokens9/1/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 52/48
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv astro-ph.HE new-submissions listing for 2026-08-10 contain at least 20 new submissions?
YES 44%NO 56%
70 bets · 86.8K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 44/56
entertainmentAI generated
Will Marilyn Manson's 'One Assassination Under God – Chapter 2' debut in the top 5 of the Billboard 200 chart dated August 29, 2026?
YES 48%NO 52%
77 bets · 86.7K tokens8/30/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
scienceAI generated
Will the arXiv cs.LG new-submissions listing for 2026-08-10 contain at least 100 new submissions?
YES 54%NO 46%
72 bets · 86.5K tokens8/11/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any new UN Security Council resolution on any topic be adopted (with a formal vote) during the week of August 10–16, 2026, as recorded on press.un.org?
YES 48%NO 52%
78 bets · 86.5K tokens8/17/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
entertainmentAI generated
Will Marilyn Manson's 'One Assassination Under God – Chapter 2' chart in the top 5 on the Apple Music US album chart on its release day of August 14, 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%
77 bets · 86.2K tokens8/15/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General's formal oral briefing or written report on the ISIL/Da'esh biannual threat assessment (expected for the August 2026 UNSC briefing) be circulated as an official UN document on undocs.org by September 1, 2026?
YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 85.9K tokens9/1/2026
Generated: Aug 9, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
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