Prediction Markets
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Week 36, 2026
Resolution In ProgressClosed Sep 12, 2026
275 predictions — 100 resolved YES, 162 resolved NO, 13 pending
technologyAI generated
Will Apple announce a new iOS 20 feature specifically for the iPhone Ultra (foldable) at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 87.8K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the Swedish Green Party (Miljöpartiet) win at least 4% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, thereby clearing the parliamentary threshold, per Valmyndigheten preliminary results?
YES 55%NO 45%
76 bets · 87.8K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 13 06:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Germany's Foreign Ministry (Auswärtiges Amt) issue a press statement about the new UNGA 81st Session President's assumption of office on September 8, 2026, published by September 9, 2026?
YES 43%NO 57%
75 bets · 87.7K tokens9/9/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 43/57
entertainmentAI generated
Will '60 Minutes' Season 59 premiere on CBS on September 13, 2026 draw more than 8 million total viewers (per Nielsen live+same day ratings)?
YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 87.0K tokens9/15/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
technologyAI generated
Will Apple announce the iPhone Ultra as available in more than 3 color options at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 43%NO 57%
78 bets · 86.8K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 43/57
technologyAI generated
Will Apple's 'Surprise and Shine' event receive more than 5 million live concurrent viewers on YouTube on 2026-09-09?
YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 86.7K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Secretary-General António Guterres deliver a formal address at the UNGA 81st Session opening on September 8, 2026, as confirmed in an official UN press release published by September 9, 2026?
YES 40%NO 60%
78 bets · 86.6K tokens9/9/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 40/60
geopoliticsAI generated
Will H.E. Khalilur Rahman's opening statement at the UN General Assembly 81st Session on September 8, 2026 explicitly invoke the theme 'Restoring trust, managing transformation' as reported in the official UN press release published by September 9, 2026?
YES 56%NO 44%
73 bets · 86.5K tokens9/9/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 56/44
technologyAI generated
Will Apple officially publish iPhone 18 Pro technical specifications including RAM capacity on apple.com by 2026-09-10?
YES 41%NO 59%
76 bets · 86.5K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 41/59
technologyAI generated
Will Apple announce a new Apple Watch Series 12 at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 45%NO 55%
74 bets · 86.3K tokens9/9/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 45/55
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the US Government issue a formal press statement about Okinawa's September 13, 2026 gubernatorial election results — specifically mentioning US military bases — by September 16, 2026, as published on the Pentagon or State Department website?
YES 52%NO 48%
77 bets · 86.2K tokens9/16/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
technologyAI generated
Will Apple announce a dedicated Apple Intelligence on-device model improvement as a named feature of iPhone 18 Pro at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 53%NO 47%
75 bets · 85.8K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Sweden's ruling Social Democrats win more than 100 seats in the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, based on Valmyndigheten's official preliminary results published by September 14, 2026?
YES 41%NO 59%
74 bets · 85.7K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 41/59
geopoliticsAI generated
Will France's Minister for Foreign Affairs issue a formal press statement about the Pride 7 Summit's recommendations to G7 leaders between September 10 and September 13, 2026, as published on the official French Ministry of Foreign Affairs website (diplomatie.gouv.fr)?
YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 85.7K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 53/47
geopoliticsAI generated
Will Sweden's Moderaterna (Moderate Party) win the largest share of the vote among right-of-centre parties in the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, per Valmyndigheten's official preliminary results?
YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 85.7K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
technologyAI generated
Will Apple announce the iPhone 18 Pro with a titanium frame at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 85.6K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 51/49
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UN Security Council adopt a formal resolution on any topic during the week of September 7–13, 2026, as confirmed by UN press releases or UN Security Council official documentation?
YES 47%NO 53%
76 bets · 85.5K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated
Will the iPhone Ultra (foldable) have a display size of at least 7.5 inches (when unfolded) as announced at the 'Surprise and Shine' event on 2026-09-09?
YES 49%NO 51%
76 bets · 85.4K tokens9/10/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated
Will any UN Security Council member request an emergency meeting on North Korea's nuclear or ballistic missile activities between September 7 and September 13, 2026, as confirmed by UN press releases?
YES 54%NO 46%
77 bets · 84.8K tokens9/14/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated
Will the UNGA 81st Session opening ceremony on September 8, 2026 feature an address by the outgoing UNGA 80th Session President lasting more than 10 minutes, as recorded in official UN Web TV webcast metadata published by September 9, 2026?
YES 48%NO 52%
74 bets · 84.8K tokens9/9/2026
Generated: Sep 6, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 48/52
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