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Week 38, 2026

Open

Betting open until Sat Sep 26, 17:00 UTC

279 predictions — 237 open, 42 resolved

technologyAI generated

Will a new semiconductor fabrication partnership between a US and Asian company be announced between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?

YES 54%NO 46%
75 bets · 85.5K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will a song performed at the 2026 MTV VMAs on September 27 debut in the top 20 of the Billboard Hot 100 dated October 10?

YES 45%NO 55%
73 bets · 85.5K tokens10/11/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Oct 6 07:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will Apple release a security patch update to iOS 20 within 48 hours of any critical zero-day vulnerability disclosure between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-22?

YES 54%NO 46%
75 bets · 85.4K tokens10/22/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will the 2026 MTV VMAs garner more than 500,000 mentions on X (Twitter) in the 24 hours following the broadcast on September 27?

YES 57%NO 43%
74 bets · 85.3K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 27 23:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will the 2026 MTV VMAs on September 27 draw more than 4 million live TV viewers per Nielsen fast nationals?

YES 50%NO 50%
74 bets · 85.1K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 27 23:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate opening session on 2026-09-22 include a science-related policy statement from at least one member state addressing climate science in its delivered speech?

YES 47%NO 53%
74 bets · 84.9K tokens9/23/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the People's Republic of China's national statement at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) explicitly oppose unilateral sanctions as a diplomatic tool, per the official UN record or press.un.org summary?

YES 45%NO 55%
76 bets · 84.8K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv physics.ao-ph (Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics) new-submissions listing for 2026-09-22 contain at least 8 new submissions?

YES 52%NO 48%
74 bets · 84.2K tokens9/23/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 52/48
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN General Assembly adopt by consensus the outcome document of the High-Level Meeting on Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response (September 25, 2026) per undocs.org records by October 2, 2026?

YES 49%NO 51%
78 bets · 84.0K tokens10/3/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 25 10:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will at least one major developing country (Brazil, India, South Africa, or Indonesia) deliver a speech at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) explicitly calling for reform of the UN Security Council permanent membership structure, per press.un.org records?

YES 51%NO 49%
77 bets · 83.9K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will a new UN Security Council presidential statement (S/PRST) on climate and security be adopted and published between September 22 and October 5, 2026, per the UN Security Council documents portal on un.org?

YES 45%NO 55%
76 bets · 83.9K tokens10/6/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Secretary-General's Climate Summit on September 23, 2026 result in a summary or outcome document published on un.org by September 25, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
75 bets · 83.7K tokens9/26/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 23 15:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Iran's President or Foreign Minister deliver Iran's national statement at UNGA 81 (September 22–28, 2026) without a walkout by a Western delegation being reported by Reuters or AP?

YES 49%NO 51%
77 bets · 83.7K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
technologyAI generated

Will AMD announce a new AI GPU or data center processor between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-10?

YES 44%NO 56%
74 bets · 83.6K tokens10/10/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will the 2026 MTV VMAs on CBS rank as the #1 most-watched primetime program of the evening on September 27 by total viewers?

YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 83.4K tokens9/28/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 27 23:00 UTC
scienceAI generated

Will the arXiv astro-ph.HE (High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena) new-submissions listing for 2026-09-22 contain at least 30 new submissions?

YES 42%NO 58%
75 bets · 83.4K tokens9/23/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 42/58
technologyAI generated

Will a major US technology antitrust case result in a court ruling or significant development between 2026-09-21 and 2026-10-22?

YES 56%NO 44%
75 bets · 83.2K tokens10/22/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 21 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Still Flipping Out (Bravo, premiering September 28) appear in Nielsen's top 25 most-watched cable programs for the week of September 28-October 4?

YES 53%NO 47%
74 bets · 83.1K tokens10/7/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 28 00:00 UTC
geopoliticsAI generated

Will more than 100 Heads of State or Government deliver statements during the UNGA 81 High-Level General Debate (September 22–28, 2026) according to the official speaker list on gadebate.un.org?

YES 49%NO 51%
74 bets · 83.0K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 20, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 22 00:00 UTC
entertainmentAI generated

Will Animal Control Season 5 premiere on September 27 draw more than 2.5 million viewers per Nielsen same-day ratings?

YES 51%NO 49%
75 bets · 82.6K tokens9/29/2026
Generated: Sep 21, 2026
Wagering closes: Sep 28 00:30 UTC

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