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Week 19, 2026

Certified

Closed May 16, 2026

286 predictions — 150 resolved YES, 143 resolved NO, 14 invalidated

scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink batch launch (NET May 15) from Vandenberg SFB successfully deploy all 24 Starlink V2 Mini Optimized satellites on or before 2026-05-17?

YES 58%NO 42%
17 bets · 16.2K tokens5/17/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 58/42
entertainmentAI generated

Will Obsession finish in the domestic box office top 3 for the weekend of May 15–17, 2026 per Box Office Mojo?

YES 44%NO 56%
16 bets · 16.2K tokens5/18/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 44/56
entertainmentAI generated

Will The Roast of Kevin Hart (Netflix LIVE) receive a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of 70% or higher with at least 10 critic reviews counted by 2026-05-14?

YES 58%NO 42%
17 bets · 16.2K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 58/42
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the 79th World Health Assembly (WHA79, Geneva, May 18–23) pass a formal resolution on pandemic preparedness financing by May 23, 2026?

YES 45%NO 55%
16 bets · 16.2K tokens5/24/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 45/55
sportsAI generated

Will the Texas Rangers defeat the Arizona Diamondbacks on May 12, 2026 (00:06 UTC) in their MLB regular season game?

YES 54%NO 46%
17 bets · 16.2K tokens5/12/2026
Generated: May 10, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
technologyAI generated

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) stock close above $220.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-05-12 and 2026-05-16?

YES 42%NO 58%
17 bets · 16.1K tokens5/16/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 42/58
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Science 7 Summit (May 18–19) formally recommend that G7 governments increase public R&D spending by a specific percentage in its communiqué?

YES 56%NO 44%
16 bets · 16.1K tokens5/21/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 56/44
geopoliticsAI generated

Will voter turnout in the 2026 Andalusian Regional Election exceed 65%, according to official data from Spain's Interior Ministry?

YES 42%NO 58%
17 bets · 16.1K tokens5/18/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 42/58
technologyAI generated

Will Cisco (CSCO) announce a share buyback authorization of $1.0B or more on the Q3 FY2026 earnings call on 2026-05-13?

YES 43%NO 57%
16 bets · 16.1K tokens5/13/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 43/57
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Africa Forward Summit (Nairobi, May 11–12) announce a G7 financial commitment of at least $10 billion for African infrastructure by May 12, 2026?

YES 57%NO 43%
16 bets · 16.0K tokens5/12/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 57/43
geopoliticsAI generated

Will any NATO member country announce new military aid package commitments to Ukraine specifically between May 11 and May 17, 2026?

YES 54%NO 46%
16 bets · 16.0K tokens5/17/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 54/46
technologyAI generated

Will Red Hat announce a new AI-powered developer tool or product offering at Red Hat Summit 2026 (May 11–14) that integrates with IBM watsonx, as evidenced by an official press release from Red Hat or IBM?

YES 49%NO 51%
15 bets · 16.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 49/51
geopoliticsAI generated

Will Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez publicly comment on the Andalusian Regional Election result within 24 hours of polls closing on May 17, 2026?

YES 53%NO 47%
16 bets · 15.9K tokens5/18/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 53/47
technologyAI generated

Will Cisco (CSCO) stock close above its 2026-05-13 pre-earnings close price on 2026-05-14 (i.e., post-earnings reaction is positive)?

YES 42%NO 58%
18 bets · 15.9K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 42/58
entertainmentAI generated

Will Francis Ngannou defeat Philipe Lins at the Netflix live MMA event on May 16, 2026?

YES 57%NO 43%
16 bets · 15.9K tokens5/17/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 57/43
technologyAI generated

Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) stock close above $215.00 on at least one trading day between 2026-05-12 and 2026-05-16?

YES 47%NO 53%
15 bets · 15.9K tokens5/16/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 47/53
technologyAI generated

Will any Magnificent 7 stock (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, AMZN, META, TSLA) fall more than 5% in a single trading day between 2026-05-11 and 2026-05-15?

YES 54%NO 46%
15 bets · 15.9K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 54/46
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the G7 Finance Ministers' Meeting (Paris, May 18–19) explicitly address or mention Ukraine reconstruction financing in its official communiqué?

YES 57%NO 43%
16 bets · 15.8K tokens5/21/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 57/43
financeAI generated

Will EUR/USD spot rate (WM/Refinitiv 4pm London fix) close above 1.1900 on 2026-05-15?

YES 42%NO 58%
17 bets · 15.8K tokens5/15/2026
Generated: May 10, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 42/58
technologyAI generated

Will Cisco (CSCO) Q3 FY2026 Security segment revenue exceed $2.20B as reported in the earnings press release on 2026-05-13?

YES 58%NO 42%
15 bets · 15.7K tokens5/13/2026
Generated: May 11, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 58/42

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