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Week 16, 2026

Certified

Closed Apr 25, 2026

331 predictions — 162 resolved YES, 170 resolved NO, 5 invalidated

geopoliticsAI generated

Will Ukraine's foreign ministry issue a formal statement reacting to Bulgaria's election outcome and expressing concern about Bulgaria's Ukraine military support policy by April 24, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues (April 20–27 session) feature a statement specifically addressing the rights of indigenous peoples in active conflict zones including Ukraine or Sudan, per official UN coverage by April 25, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the UN Security Council's April 27, 2026 maritime security high-level debate feature a ministerial-level representative from at least 5 non-Council member states, per official UN meetings coverage?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/27/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
geopoliticsAI generated

Will the Bulgarian National Assembly (52nd) hold its constitutionally required inaugural session within 30 days of the CEC certifying final election results, i.e., by May 21, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/20/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will gold (spot XAU/USD) close above $3,400 per troy ounce on any trading day between 2026-04-28 and 2026-05-09?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will WTI crude oil futures close below $65 per barrel on any trading day between 2026-04-28 and 2026-05-09?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/10/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 index close above 5,400 at any point between 2026-04-28 and 2026-05-08?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/9/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the U.S. April 2026 retail sales report show a month-over-month change above 0.5% when released on 2026-05-15?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/16/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the U.S. April 2026 CPI report show year-over-year headline inflation above 3.0% when released on 2026-05-13?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/14/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the Federal Reserve leave the federal funds target rate unchanged at its May 2026 FOMC meeting concluding on 2026-05-07?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/8/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the U.S. April 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI come in above 48.0 when released on 2026-05-01?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/2/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will Alphabet (GOOGL) report Q1 2026 YouTube advertising revenue above $9.5 billion when it reports on 2026-04-22?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the Russell 2000 small-cap index outperform the S&P 500 (both on a price-return basis) for the full week from Monday April 21 to Friday April 25, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/26/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will Tesla (TSLA) provide 2026 full-year vehicle delivery guidance on its Q1 2026 earnings call on 2026-04-22?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the ServiceNow (NOW) stock close above $1,000 on 2026-04-24, the day after Q1 2026 earnings?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/25/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics report April 2026 nonfarm payrolls above 150,000 jobs added when released on 2026-05-08?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens5/9/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the S&P 500 close higher on Friday 2026-04-25 than it closed on Monday 2026-04-21?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/26/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will Snap Inc. (SNAP) report Q1 2026 total revenue above $1.4 billion when it reports on 2026-04-22?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/23/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield close lower on 2026-04-25 than it closed on 2026-04-22?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/26/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
financeAI generated

Will IBM (IBM) stock rise more than 3% on 2026-04-23, the day after Q1 2026 earnings?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/24/2026
Generated: Apr 19, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50

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