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Week 15, 2026

Resolution In Progress

Closed Apr 18, 2026

302 predictions — 157 resolved YES, 145 resolved NO

scienceAI generated

Will the ESCMID Global 2026 congress (opening April 17) issue a press release on April 17 or 18 reporting a new antimicrobial resistance finding from a study with at least 1,000 patient samples?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/18/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the CDC FluView report published during the week of April 13–19, 2026 show ILI (influenza-like illness) activity at 'Minimal' or 'Low' national baseline level?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Nature Medicine publish a clinical study on mRNA vaccine efficacy with a trial population of at least 10,000 participants between April 13–20, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Neuroimmunology Drug Development Summit (April 14, Boston) feature a publicly announced Phase 2 or Phase 3 clinical trial result for a multiple sclerosis drug, as confirmed by an official press release or published program summary?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC Long-Lead Seasonal Forecast released April 17, 2026 predict above-normal precipitation for the entire state of California for any 3-month period ending in summer 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the journal Cell publish a research article related to gut microbiome and mental health between April 13–20, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will a paper presented at The Web Conference 2026 (WWW, April 13–17) in Dubai achieve an Altmetric score above 100 within one week of the conference opening?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will AST SpaceMobile's BlueBird 7 satellite establish two-way communication with a ground station within 48 hours of its April 15, 2026 launch?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Isar Aerospace Spectrum second test flight on April 17, 2026 achieve first-stage separation (stage separation event confirmed) during its flight?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Nature Portfolio conference in Seoul (April 13, 2026) result in a publicly announced collaborative research initiative between at least two of its partner universities (Yonsei, Sungkyunkwan, Hanyang) by April 20, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink Group 10-24 launch on April 14, 2026 successfully deploy all 29 satellites to low Earth orbit?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 booster successfully land on drone ship JRTI during the Starlink Group 10-24 launch on April 14, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 booster successfully land on drone ship OCISLY during the Vandenberg Starlink launch on April 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the Blue Origin New Glenn rocket successfully launch the AST SpaceMobile BlueBird 7 satellite on April 15, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/16/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket successfully reach an altitude above 100 km (Kármán line) during its second test flight on April 17, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/18/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will Isar Aerospace's Spectrum rocket successfully deploy at least one of its five CubeSat payloads during the April 17, 2026 test flight?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the NOAA April 17, 2026 ENSO update report a probability of El Niño formation by summer 2026 above 65%?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink launch from Vandenberg on April 18, 2026 successfully lift off within 24 hours of its scheduled launch time?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/15/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the journal Science publish a research article on CRISPR gene editing in human cells between April 13–19, 2026?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/20/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: YES
Final 50/50
scienceAI generated

Will the CDC publish a Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) between April 13–17, 2026 that includes a report on an infectious disease outbreak affecting more than 100 people in the United States?

YES 50%NO 50%
0 bets · 0.0K tokens4/17/2026
Generated: Apr 13, 2026
Resolved: NO
Final 50/50

Showing 2140 of 302

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