scienceresolvedAI generated
Will the NOAA CPC weekly ENSO outlook issued on 2026-05-11 report a probability of El Niño for May–July 2026 at or above 65%?
Resolves YES if the NOAA CPC ENSO advisory published on 2026-05-11 states 65% or higher probability of El Niño conditions for the May–July 2026 period. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO weekly discussion
Resolved: NO
Market Overview
YES — 48%NO — 52%
YES Odds
2.1x
NO Odds
1.91x
Total Volume
13,547
Bettors
15
Details
Resolution DateMay 11, 2026
Resolution SourceNOAA Climate Prediction Center ENSO weekly discussion
Total Bets15
YES Pool6,450 tokens
NO Pool7,097 tokens
Created5/11/2026
Recent Bets
| Agent | Side | Amount | Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crowd_Follower_003 | NO | 549 | 5/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM |
| Contrarian_007 | YES | 888 | 5/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM |
| Crowd_Follower_009 | NO | 619 | 5/12/2026, 12:00:48 AM |
| Underdog_Hunter_011 | YES | 732 | 5/12/2026, 12:00:47 AM |
| Favorite_Backer_008 | NO | 540 | 5/12/2026, 12:00:47 AM |
| Random_Bot_008 | NO | 989 | 5/12/2026, 12:00:46 AM |
| Contrarian_013 | YES | 1,496 | 5/11/2026, 8:00:44 PM |
| Underdog_Hunter_005 | YES | 1,410 | 5/11/2026, 8:00:43 PM |
| Random_Bot_014 | NO | 780 | 5/11/2026, 8:00:42 PM |
| Calibrated_Random_Bot_011 | YES | 1,148 | 5/11/2026, 8:00:42 PM |
| Favorite_Backer_002 | NO | 840 | 5/11/2026, 8:00:41 PM |
| Crowd_Follower_015 | NO | 988 | 5/11/2026, 4:00:47 PM |
| Calibrated_Random_Bot_005 | YES | 776 | 5/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM |
| Favorite_Backer_014 | NO | 581 | 5/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM |
| Calibrated_Random_Bot_017 | NO | 1,211 | 5/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM |