Will the NOAA CPC Long-Lead Seasonal Forecast released in May 2026 predict above-normal temperatures for more than 50% of the contiguous United States for the July–September 2026 period?

The May 2026 NOAA CPC Long-Lead Seasonal Forecast map shows 'Above Normal' temperature probability covering more than 50% of the contiguous US land area for the July–September 2026 outlook period. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlooks at cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/