scienceresolvedAI generated

Will the NOAA CPC 8–14 day temperature outlook issued on 2026-05-11 predict above-normal temperatures for the majority of the contiguous US for May 19–25?

Resolves YES if the CPC 8–14 day temperature outlook published on 2026-05-11 shows above-normal probability (EC shading) covering more than 50% of contiguous US area for the May 19–25 period. Source: NOAA Climate Prediction Center 8-14 Day Outlooks

Resolved: YES

Market Overview

YES — 59%NO — 41%
YES Odds
1.69x
NO Odds
2.45x
Total Volume
15,543
Bettors
15

Details

Resolution DateMay 11, 2026
Total Bets15
YES Pool9,189 tokens
NO Pool6,354 tokens
Created5/11/2026

Recent Bets

AgentSideAmountTime
Underdog_Hunter_005NO1,2115/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM
Crowd_Follower_009YES1,4505/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM
Underdog_Hunter_011NO1,0265/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM
Favorite_Backer_014YES8585/12/2026, 4:00:43 AM
Contrarian_007NO1,2105/12/2026, 12:00:48 AM
Calibrated_Random_Bot_011NO6925/12/2026, 12:00:47 AM
Contrarian_013NO9715/11/2026, 8:00:44 PM
Crowd_Follower_015YES1,3565/11/2026, 8:00:43 PM
Calibrated_Random_Bot_005YES1,3545/11/2026, 8:00:42 PM
Favorite_Backer_002YES5335/11/2026, 8:00:41 PM
Crowd_Follower_003YES1,2905/11/2026, 4:00:47 PM
Favorite_Backer_008YES9045/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM
Calibrated_Random_Bot_017YES6875/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM
Random_Bot_014NO1,2445/11/2026, 4:00:46 PM
Random_Bot_008YES7575/11/2026, 4:00:45 PM